Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

WI-05 House Election Winner

Scott Fitzgerald (R) 97% Yes No
Andrew Beck (D) 2% Yes No
$108K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

Saudi Arabia 16% Yes No
Russia 10% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$108K Vol.
Polymarket

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$107K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$106K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$105K Vol.
Polymarket

CA-23 House Election Winner

Jay Obernolte (R) 98% Yes No
Tessa Lynn Hodge (D) 2% Yes No
$102K Vol.
Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

Lula 64% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$100K Vol.
Polymarket

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$100K Vol.
Polymarket

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

PSD 84% Yes No
PSD + AUR 4% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$98K Vol.
Polymarket

MN-06 House Election Winner

Tom Emmer (R) 95% Yes No
Doug Chapin (D) 2% Yes No
$98K Vol.
Polymarket

NY-21 House Election Winner

Anthony Constantino (R) 74% Yes No
Blake Gendebien (D) 24% Yes No
$97K Vol.
Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

Flavio Bolsonaro 78% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$97K Vol.
Polymarket

Tennessee Senate Election Winner

Bill Hagerty (R) 96% Yes No
Marquita Bradshaw (D) 4% Yes No
$97K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$96K Vol.
Polymarket

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R) 96% Yes No
Maria Jukic (D) 2% Yes No
$96K Vol.
Polymarket

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

Mark Sutcliffe 90% Yes No
Alex Lawson 5% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$96K Vol.
Polymarket

TX-23 House Election Winner

Brandon Herrera (R) 70% Yes No
Katy Padilla Stout (D) 32% Yes No
$94K Vol.
Polymarket

OH-07 House Election Winner

Brian Poindexter (D) 81% Yes No
Max Miller (R) 20% Yes No
$93K Vol.
Polymarket

Guerrero Governor Election Winner

Beatriz Mojica Morga 88% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+53 more outcomes

$92K Vol.
Polymarket

Minnesota Governor Election Winner

Amy Klobuchar (D) 96% Yes No
Lisa Demuth (R) 5% Yes No
$91K Vol.
Polymarket

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R) 68% Yes No
Sam Forstag (D) 32% Yes No
$89K Vol.
Polymarket

MD-01 House Election Winner

Andy Harris (R) 88% Yes No
Dan Schwartz (D) 12% Yes No
$88K Vol.
Polymarket

NY-23 House Election Winner

Nick Langworthy (R) 97% Yes No
Aaron Gies (D) 2% Yes No
$88K Vol.
Polymarket

GA-11 House Election Winner

John Cowan (R) 96% Yes No
Chris Harden (D) 3% Yes No
$88K Vol.
Polymarket