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Prime Minister of Australia after next election?
Top outcomes
Other
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$34K Vol.
Closes Sep 24, 2028
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$34.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$34K Vol.
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate E
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate B
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate B
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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0 / 2,000
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Candidate D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate I
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate I
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate F
49% market probability
49%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 49%
+51 / −49
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 51%
+49 / −51
Explain your Yes on Candidate F
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate J
49% market probability
49%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 49%
+51 / −49
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 51%
+49 / −51
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0 / 2,000
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Candidate K
49% market probability
49%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 49%
+51 / −49
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 51%
+49 / −51
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0 / 2,000
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Candidate H
48% market probability
48%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 48%
+52 / −48
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 52%
+48 / −52
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0 / 2,000
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Anthony Albanese
43% market probability
43%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 43%
+57 / −43
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 57%
+43 / −57
Explain your Yes on Anthony Albanese
Explain your No on Anthony Albanese
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0 / 2,000
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Candidate G
40% market probability
40%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 40%
+60 / −40
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 60%
+40 / −60
Explain your Yes on Candidate G
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0 / 2,000
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Pauline Hanson
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on Pauline Hanson
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0 / 2,000
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Angus Taylor
21% market probability
21%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 21%
+79 / −21
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 79%
+21 / −79
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0 / 2,000
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Jim Chalmers
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Jim Chalmers
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Robbie Katter
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Robbie Katter
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0 / 2,000
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Larissa Waters
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Larissa Waters
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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