Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas
94%
Yes
No
Jim Priest
4%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$97K Vol.
Polymarket
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
No
72%
Yes
28%
$96K Vol.
Polymarket
Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 31
28%
Yes
No
September 30
9%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$95K Vol.
Polymarket
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$93K Vol.
Polymarket
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027
92%
Yes
No
Waddani
5%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$92K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by...?
August 31, 2026
6%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
$92K Vol.
Polymarket
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
No
76%
Yes
24%
$91K Vol.
Polymarket
MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Cori Bush
61%
Yes
No
Wesley Bell
40%
Yes
No
$90K Vol.
Polymarket
Tennessee Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Jerri Green
93%
Yes
No
Carnita Atwater
3%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$89K Vol.
Polymarket
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
None before 2027
34%
Yes
No
Netanyahu - Israel PM
30%
Yes
No
+20 more outcomes
$89K Vol.
Polymarket
Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner
John James
88%
Yes
No
Perry Johnson
12%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$88K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?
August 31
6%
Yes
No
July 31
2%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$87K Vol.
Polymarket
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place
CDU
94%
Yes
No
The Left
4%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$86K Vol.
Polymarket
Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner
Other
50%
Yes
No
Candidate A
50%
Yes
No
+10 more outcomes
$86K Vol.
Polymarket
Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?
No
100%
Yes
0%
$86K Vol.
Polymarket
Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %
Farage 60–70%
36%
Yes
No
Farage 70–80%
27%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$84K Vol.
Polymarket
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
No
93%
Yes
7%
$83K Vol.
Polymarket
Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Luciano Zucco
44%
Yes
No
Juliana Brizola
42%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$83K Vol.
Polymarket
Andrew Tate released from custody by...?
December 31
22%
Yes
No
July 31
4%
Yes
No
$81K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Trump visit North Korea by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$79K Vol.
Polymarket
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Democrat
86%
Yes
No
Republican
14%
Yes
No
$77K Vol.
Polymarket
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$76K Vol.
Polymarket
Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
Other
50%
Yes
No
Person C
50%
Yes
No
+40 more outcomes
$73K Vol.
Polymarket
Nigerian Presidential Election Winner
Bola Tinubu
62%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+20 more outcomes
$73K Vol.
Polymarket
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