Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$226K Vol.
Polymarket

North Carolina Senate Election Winner

Roy Cooper (D) 96% Yes No
Michael Whatley (R) 4% Yes No
$223K Vol.
Polymarket

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$215K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Elon Musk 100% Yes No
Mark Carney 100% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$214K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?

December 31 34% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$210K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?

December 31 20% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$208K Vol.
Polymarket

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

No 80%
Yes 20%
$203K Vol.
Polymarket

Georgia Governor Election Winner

Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) 50% Yes No
Rick Jackson (R) 50% Yes No
$203K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$201K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$201K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$198K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$195K Vol.
Polymarket

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$192K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$186K Vol.
Polymarket

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 8% 100% Yes No
↓ 7% 34% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$186K Vol.
Polymarket

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

No 82%
Yes 18%
$185K Vol.
Polymarket

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

Other 50% Yes No
Candidate A 50% Yes No

+40 more outcomes

$182K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$180K Vol.
Polymarket

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$178K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$177K Vol.
Polymarket

Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?

No meeting by December 31, 2027 82% Yes No
Hungary 3% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$176K Vol.
Polymarket

Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by...?

December 31 5% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$175K Vol.
Polymarket

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$174K Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

December 31, 2027 22% Yes No
December 31, 2026 6% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$173K Vol.
Polymarket