Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner

N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas 94% Yes No
Jim Priest 4% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$97K Vol.
Polymarket

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

No 72%
Yes 28%
$96K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 31 28% Yes No
September 30 9% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$95K Vol.
Polymarket

US x China tariff agreement by July 31?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$93K Vol.
Polymarket

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

No election before 2027 92% Yes No
Waddani 5% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$92K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by...?

August 31, 2026 6% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$92K Vol.
Polymarket

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

No 76%
Yes 24%
$91K Vol.
Polymarket

MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Cori Bush 61% Yes No
Wesley Bell 40% Yes No
$90K Vol.
Polymarket

Tennessee Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Jerri Green 93% Yes No
Carnita Atwater 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$89K Vol.
Polymarket

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)

None before 2027 34% Yes No
Netanyahu - Israel PM 30% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$89K Vol.
Polymarket

Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

John James 88% Yes No
Perry Johnson 12% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$88K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?

August 31 6% Yes No
July 31 2% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$87K Vol.
Polymarket

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

CDU 94% Yes No
The Left 4% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$86K Vol.
Polymarket

Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner

Other 50% Yes No
Candidate A 50% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$86K Vol.
Polymarket

Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$86K Vol.
Polymarket

Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %

Farage 60–70% 36% Yes No
Farage 70–80% 27% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$84K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$83K Vol.
Polymarket

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

Luciano Zucco 44% Yes No
Juliana Brizola 42% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$83K Vol.
Polymarket

Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

December 31 22% Yes No
July 31 4% Yes No
$81K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump visit North Korea by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$79K Vol.
Polymarket

Georgia Senate Election Winner

Democrat 86% Yes No
Republican 14% Yes No
$77K Vol.
Polymarket

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$76K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

Other 50% Yes No
Person C 50% Yes No

+40 more outcomes

$73K Vol.
Polymarket

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

Bola Tinubu 62% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$73K Vol.
Polymarket