All markets

$63.2M Vol.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31 14% Yes No

September 30 8% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$46.6M Vol.

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

December 31 6% Yes No

July 31 3% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$30.1M Vol.

GPT-6 released 57% Yes No

What will happen before GTA VI?

New Playboi Carti Album 53% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$22.5M Vol.

GTA VI released before June 2026?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$15.2M Vol.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 56% Yes No

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Avengers: Doomsday 20% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$9.5M Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets May 22 - May 29, 2026?

180-199 99% Yes No

200-219 1% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$7.4M Vol.

Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?

840-879 65% Yes No

800-839 17% Yes No

+25 more outcomes

$5.2M Vol.

No Bond chosen 89% Yes No

Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 4% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$2.9M Vol.

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

2 59% Yes No

1 32% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$2.9M Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets May 26 - June 2, 2026?

160-179 22% Yes No

180-199 20% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.

Other (Season Cancelled) 90% Yes No

Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

Doug Mason 5% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$2.4M Vol.

Human moon landing in 2026?

No 97%

Yes 3%

$1.9M Vol.

Will Trump dance on...?

May 31 8% Yes No

May 30 6% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Elon Musk 92% Yes No

Jensen Huang 2% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.

Avengers: Doomsday 72% Yes No

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 18% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.

Top Spotify Artist 2026

Bad Bunny 68% Yes No

Drake 21% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.

No Prison Time 76% Yes No

Harvey Weinstein prison time?

20-30 years 9% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

May 28 99% Yes No

May 30 94% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$881K Vol.

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

No 91%

Yes 9%

$811K Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets May 29 - June 5, 2026?

160-179 14% Yes No

180-199 14% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$810K Vol.

Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?

$676K Vol.

"How to Make a Killing" Rotten Tomatoes score?

56+ 0% Yes No

58+ 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$646K Vol.

Jacob Tsimerman 82% Yes No

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Hong Wang 66% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$529K Vol.

+8 more outcomes

$377K Vol.

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 75%

Yes 25%

$364K Vol.

SBF released from custody in 2026?

No 92%

Yes 8%

$358K Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets May 28 - May 30, 2026?

40-64 70% Yes No

65-89 24% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$337K Vol.

Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?

$315K Vol.

Brittany Mahomes 85% Yes No

Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?

Selena Gomez 92% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$304K Vol.

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

140-159 39% Yes No

160-179 34% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$302K Vol.

Marjorie Taylor Greene 28% Yes No

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Megyn Kelly 12% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$285K Vol.

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 99% Yes No

Highest Domestically Grossing April Film on May 31?

Michael 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$281K Vol.

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

$221K Vol.

Olivia Rodrigo 99% Yes No

Which artists will release new albums in 2026?

Kendrick Lamar 63% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$201K Vol.

"Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)

>61m 99% Yes No

57-61m 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$188K Vol.

Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

No 3%

Yes 97%

$174K Vol.

Anthropic CEO arrested?

$165K Vol.

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

Ariana Grande 96% Yes No

The Weeknd 6% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$163K Vol.

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

No 18%

Yes 82%

$163K Vol.

Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?

No 96%

Yes 4%

$163K Vol.

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Mariah Carey 90% Yes No

Ariana Grande 82% Yes No

+22 more outcomes

$151K Vol.

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

$151K Vol.

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

No 90%

Yes 10%

$138K Vol.

"Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office (Even Higher Strikes)

>79m 96% Yes No

73-79m 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$135K Vol.

Billboard #1 Artist 2026

Zach Bryan 38% Yes No

The Weeknd 36% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$128K Vol.

Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?

$123K Vol.

Top Spotify artist in May?

Bruno Mars 70% Yes No

Justin Bieber 28% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$120K Vol.

Which artists will release a new song in 2026?

Lil Uzi Vert 95% Yes No

Nicki Minaj 90% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$120K Vol.

MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

$120K Vol.

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

No 60%

Yes 40%

$113K Vol.

Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

May 29 39% Yes No

May 24 25% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$110K Vol.

Michael B. Jordan 18% Yes No

People's Sexiest Man Alive 2026

Bad Bunny 23% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$107K Vol.

"Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office

>35m 100% Yes No

<23m 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$94K Vol.

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

≤8 52% Yes No

12 39% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$93K Vol.

Rhoda Magbitang 95% Yes No

Who will win Top Chef Season 23?

Sherry Cardoso 4% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$91K Vol.

Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?

No 96%

Yes 4%

$90K Vol.

"The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office

>7m 73% Yes No

6-7m 24% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$83K Vol.

Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026?

No 58%

Yes 42%

$77K Vol.

Elon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?

840-879 9% Yes No

880-919 9% Yes No

+49 more outcomes

$73K Vol.

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

No 84%

Yes 16%

$64K Vol.

Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by June 30?

494m 100% Yes No

497m 99% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$57K Vol.

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

No 14%

Yes 86%

$56K Vol.

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

No 97%

Yes 3%

$55K Vol.

Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?

No 48%

Yes 52%

$55K Vol.

Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?

No 74%

Yes 26%

$52K Vol.

Another Elon baby by June 30?

No 90%

Yes 10%

$52K Vol.

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

June 30 80% Yes No

June 15 62% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$48K Vol.

Will Comey smile in his mugshot?

$43K Vol.

Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop 84% Yes No

Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?

Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool 82% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$42K Vol.

2nd richest person on December 31?

Larry Page 56% Yes No

Larry Ellison 32% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$42K Vol.

Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?

$40K Vol.

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

No 66%

Yes 34%

$39K Vol.

Ángela Aguilar & Christian Nodal split in 2026?

No 50%

Yes 50%

$38K Vol.

Will MrBeast get married by December 31?

No 42%

Yes 57%

$37K Vol.

Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

No 97%

Yes 3%

$34K Vol.

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?

No 83%

Yes 17%

$32K Vol.