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Forecasts closed Pop Culture Polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?

Top outcomes

680-719 15%

720-759 14%

760-799 14%

640-679 13%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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$761K Vol. Closes Aug 1, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$760.9k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$761K Vol.

680-719

15% market probability

15%

Yes 15% +85 / −15 No 85% +15 / −85

720-759

14% market probability

14%

Yes 14% +86 / −14 No 86% +14 / −86

760-799

14% market probability

14%

Yes 14% +86 / −14 No 86% +14 / −86

640-679

13% market probability

13%

Yes 13% +87 / −13 No 87% +13 / −87

800-839

12% market probability

12%

Yes 12% +88 / −12 No 88% +12 / −88

600-639

7% market probability

Yes 7% +93 / −7 No 93% +7 / −93

840-879

7% market probability

Yes 7% +93 / −7 No 93% +7 / −93

880-919

4% market probability

Yes 4% +96 / −4 No 96% +4 / −96

580-599

4% market probability

Yes 4% +96 / −4 No 96% +4 / −96

960-999

3% market probability

Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

920-959

3% market probability

Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

1000-1039

2% market probability

Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

560-579

2% market probability

Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

520-539

1% market probability

Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

540-559

1% market probability

Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

1040-1079

1% market probability

Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

480-499

1% market probability

Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

1120-1159

0% market probability