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Elon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
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$73.3k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$73K Vol.
840-879
9% market probability
9%
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
No 91%
+9 / −91
880-919
9% market probability
9%
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
No 91%
+9 / −91
1400+
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
800-839
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
960-999
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
920-959
7% market probability
7%
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
No 93%
+7 / −93
1000-1039
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
720-759
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
760-799
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
1040-1079
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
680-719
5% market probability
5%
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
No 95%
+5 / −95
1080-1119
5% market probability
5%
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
No 95%
+5 / −95
1120-1159
5% market probability
5%
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
No 95%
+5 / −95
1160-1199
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
1200-1239
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
1240-1279
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
580-599
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
640-679
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
1280-1319
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
600-639
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
1360-1399
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
1320-1359
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
560-579
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
540-559
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
480-499
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
520-539
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
380-399
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
440-459
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
460-479
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
500-519
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
400-419
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
420-439
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
360-379
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
300-319
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
320-339
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
<20
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
280-299
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
340-359
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
240-259
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
20-39
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
40-59
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
60-79
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
80-99
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
100-119
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
120-139
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
140-159
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
160-179
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
180-199
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
200-219
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
220-239
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
260-279
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
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