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Polymarket
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$302.4k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$302K Vol.
160-179
42% market probability
42%
Yes 42%
+58 / −42
No 58%
+42 / −58
140-159
37% market probability
37%
Yes 37%
+63 / −37
No 63%
+37 / −63
180-199
9% market probability
9%
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
No 91%
+9 / −91
200 or more
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
120-139
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
100-119
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
<100
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
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Public forecast history
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