Open Pop Culture Polymarket

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

Top outcomes

140-159 49%
160-179 31%
180-199 5%
200 or more 4%

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

$316K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$316.4k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$316K Vol.

140-159

49% market probability

49%

Explain your Yes on 140-159 Explain your No on 140-159 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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160-179

31% market probability

31%

Explain your Yes on 160-179 Explain your No on 160-179 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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180-199

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on 180-199 Explain your No on 180-199 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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200 or more

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on 200 or more Explain your No on 200 or more (optional)

0 / 2,000

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120-139

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on 120-139 Explain your No on 120-139 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

100-119

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 100-119 Explain your No on 100-119 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

<100

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on <100 Explain your No on <100 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

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