Open Pop Culture Polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets May 29 - June 5, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 29 12:00 PM ET to June 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

$817K Vol. Closes Jun 5, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$816.8k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$817K Vol.

160-179

14% market probability

14%
Yes 14% +86 / −14 No 86% +14 / −86

180-199

14% market probability

14%
Yes 14% +86 / −14 No 86% +14 / −86

200-219

12% market probability

12%
Yes 12% +88 / −12 No 88% +12 / −88

140-159

10% market probability

10%
Yes 10% +90 / −10 No 90% +10 / −90

220-239

9% market probability

9%
Yes 9% +91 / −9 No 91% +9 / −91

120-139

8% market probability

8%
Yes 8% +92 / −8 No 92% +8 / −92

240-259

7% market probability

7%
Yes 7% +93 / −7 No 93% +7 / −93

260-279

6% market probability

6%
Yes 6% +94 / −6 No 94% +6 / −94

280-299

4% market probability

4%
Yes 4% +96 / −4 No 96% +4 / −96

100-119

4% market probability

4%
Yes 4% +96 / −4 No 96% +4 / −96

300-319

3% market probability

3%
Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

320-339

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

340-359

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

360-379

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

380-399

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

400-419

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

80-99

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

500+

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

420-439

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

440-459

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

460-479

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

60-79

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

40-59

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

<20

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

20-39

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

480-499

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
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Public forecast history

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