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Pop Culture
Polymarket
Which artists will release a new song in 2026?
Top outcomes
BTS
100%
SZA
100%
Drake
100%
Beyoncé
100%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new song between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, will also not count.
If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them.
For listed groups of artists, tracks released by individual members, sub-units, or under any designation other than the listed group name will not count toward resolution.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
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$128K Vol.
Closes Dec 31, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$127.9k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$128K Vol.
BTS
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
SZA
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on SZA
Explain your No on SZA
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Drake
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Drake
Explain your No on Drake
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Beyoncé
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Beyoncé
Explain your No on Beyoncé
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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A$AP Rocky
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on A$AP Rocky
Explain your No on A$AP Rocky
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Charli XCX
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Charli XCX
Explain your No on Charli XCX
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kanye West
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Kanye West
Explain your No on Kanye West
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lana Del Rey
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Lana Del Rey
Explain your No on Lana Del Rey
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Lil Uzi Vert
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Lil Uzi Vert
Explain your No on Lil Uzi Vert
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Taylor Swift
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Taylor Swift
Explain your No on Taylor Swift
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kendrick Lamar
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Kendrick Lamar
Explain your No on Kendrick Lamar
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Olivia Rodrigo
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Olivia Rodrigo
Explain your No on Olivia Rodrigo
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nicki Minaj
90% market probability
90%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 90%
+10 / −90
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 10%
+90 / −10
Explain your Yes on Nicki Minaj
Explain your No on Nicki Minaj
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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JAY-Z
82% market probability
82%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 82%
+18 / −82
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 18%
+82 / −18
Explain your Yes on JAY-Z
Explain your No on JAY-Z
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Frank Ocean
32% market probability
32%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 32%
+68 / −32
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 68%
+32 / −68
Explain your Yes on Frank Ocean
Explain your No on Frank Ocean
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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