Open Pop Culture Polymarket

2nd richest person on December 31?

Top outcomes

Larry Page 55%
Sergey Brin 37%
Michael Dell 25%
Steve Ballmer 25%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

$48K Vol. Closes Jan 3, 2027

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$48.2k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$48K Vol.

Larry Page

55% market probability

55%

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0 / 2,000

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Sergey Brin

37% market probability

37%

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0 / 2,000

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Michael Dell

25% market probability

25%

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0 / 2,000

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Steve Ballmer

25% market probability

25%

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0 / 2,000

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Jensen Huang

23% market probability

23%

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0 / 2,000

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Warren Buffett

22% market probability

22%

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0 / 2,000

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Bernard Arnault

12% market probability

12%

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0 / 2,000

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Mark Zuckerberg

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Jeff Bezos

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Elon Musk

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Larry Ellison

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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