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Pop Culture
Polymarket
2nd richest person on December 31?
Top outcomes
Larry Page
55%
Sergey Brin
37%
Michael Dell
25%
Steve Ballmer
25%
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
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$48K Vol.
Closes Jan 3, 2027
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$48.2k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$48K Vol.
Larry Page
55% market probability
55%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 55%
+45 / −55
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 45%
+55 / −45
Sergey Brin
37% market probability
37%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 37%
+63 / −37
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 63%
+37 / −63
Explain your Yes on Sergey Brin
Explain your No on Sergey Brin
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Michael Dell
25% market probability
25%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 25%
+75 / −25
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 75%
+25 / −75
Explain your Yes on Michael Dell
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Steve Ballmer
25% market probability
25%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 25%
+75 / −25
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 75%
+25 / −75
Explain your Yes on Steve Ballmer
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jensen Huang
23% market probability
23%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 23%
+77 / −23
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 77%
+23 / −77
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0 / 2,000
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Warren Buffett
22% market probability
22%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 78%
+22 / −78
Explain your Yes on Warren Buffett
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0 / 2,000
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Bernard Arnault
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on Bernard Arnault
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0 / 2,000
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Mark Zuckerberg
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Mark Zuckerberg
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jeff Bezos
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Jeff Bezos
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0 / 2,000
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Elon Musk
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Elon Musk
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0 / 2,000
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Larry Ellison
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Larry Ellison
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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