Open Pop Culture Polymarket

2nd richest person on December 31?

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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$42K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$41.7k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$42K Vol.

Larry Page

54% market probability

54%

Yes 54% +46 / −54 No 46% +54 / −46

Larry Ellison

32% market probability

32%

Yes 32% +68 / −32 No 68% +32 / −68

Bernard Arnault

23% market probability

23%

Yes 23% +77 / −23 No 77% +23 / −77

Jensen Huang

23% market probability

23%

Yes 23% +77 / −23 No 77% +23 / −77

Sergey Brin

22% market probability

22%

Yes 22% +78 / −22 No 78% +22 / −78

Warren Buffett

22% market probability

22%

Yes 22% +78 / −22 No 78% +22 / −78

Mark Zuckerberg

21% market probability

21%

Yes 21% +79 / −21 No 79% +21 / −79

Elon Musk

11% market probability

11%

Yes 11% +89 / −11 No 89% +11 / −89

Jeff Bezos

4% market probability

Yes 4% +96 / −4 No 96% +4 / −96

Steve Ballmer

0% market probability

Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Public forecast history

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