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What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Next French Presidential Election F1 Drivers' Champion Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? NBA: 2027 Champion Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? Iran leader end of 2026? Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Open Science & Tech Polymarket

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Top outcomes

John Pardon 98%
Yu Deng 98%
Jacob Tsimerman 98%
Hong Wang 98%

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.

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$631K Vol. Closes Jul 30, 2026

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All outcomes

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$631K Vol.

John Pardon

98% market probability

98%

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0 / 2,000

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Yu Deng

98% market probability

98%

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Jacob Tsimerman

98% market probability

98%

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Hong Wang

98% market probability

98%

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Vesselin Dimitrov

3% market probability

3%

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Julian Sahasrabudhe

3% market probability

3%

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Will Sawin

3% market probability

3%

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Jack Thorne

2% market probability

2%

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Aleksandr Logunov

2% market probability

2%

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Alexander Efimov

0% market probability

0%

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Sam Raskin

0% market probability

0%

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