Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

US recession by end of 2026?

No 82%
Yes 18%
$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Elon Musk # tweets June 4 - June 6, 2026?

65-89 100% Yes No
<40 0% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

India 0% Yes No
Canada 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↓ 3.5% 100% Yes No
↓ 3.25% 22% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

United Russia (ER) 96% Yes No
New People (NL) 2% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$100M 97% Yes No
$200M 97% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Elon Musk # tweets June 11 - June 13, 2026?

40-64 100% Yes No
<40 0% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

8 32% Yes No
9 28% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

↑ 34 100% Yes No
↑ 38 100% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Elon Musk # tweets June 1 - June 3, 2026?

65-89 100% Yes No
<40 0% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.0T 100% Yes No
↑$1.1T 96% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket

Will Opensea launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2026 43% Yes No
September 30, 2026 17% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026?

180-199 18% Yes No
160-179 16% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 14%
Yes 86%
$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Kash Patel out by...?

December 31 54% Yes No
June 30 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

June 30 3% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick

Gavin McKenna 93% Yes No
Ivar Stenberg 5% Yes No

+48 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$200M 66% Yes No
$400M 37% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

MLB: RBIs Leader

Yordan Alvarez 8% Yes No
Kyle Schwarber 8% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election Winner

Park Wan-soo 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Steve Witkoff 67% Yes No
Jared Kushner 60% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World