Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Bitcoin above ___ on May 31?

66,000 100% Yes No
74,000 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 58%
Yes 42%
$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Pause–Pause–Pause 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Iran closes its airspace by...?

December 31 42% Yes No
August 31 30% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

December 31 52% Yes No
June 30 8% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Anthropic 90% Yes No
Google 6% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

Forecasts closed
Fujimori 0.2–0.3% 93% Yes No
Fujimori 0.1–0.2% 4% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

September 30 25% Yes No
December 31 6% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner

Chun Jae-soo 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+63 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

Byron Donalds 92% Yes No
James Fishback 6% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

Oil Sanction Relief 62% Yes No
Unfreeze Iranian Assets 57% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by June 30, 2026 99% Yes No
600B+ 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Anthropic 100% Yes No
OpenAI 4% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Avengers: Doomsday 72% Yes No
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 16% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

What price will Bitcoin hit June 1-7?

↓ 60,000 100% Yes No
↓ 62,000 100% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

June 30 3% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

LPL 2026 Season Winner

Bilibili Gaming 59% Yes No
Top Esports 14% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 30% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Ukraine election called by...?

December 31, 2026 14% Yes No
June 30, 2026 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

June 30 6% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World