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Crypto
Polymarket
Kraken IPO by ___ ?
Top outcomes
June 30, 2027
58%
December 31, 2027
55%
March 31, 2027
48%
December 31, 2026
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
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$1.6M Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2028
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$1.6m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$1.6M Vol.
June 30, 2027
58% market probability
58%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 58%
+42 / −58
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 42%
+58 / −42
December 31, 2027
55% market probability
55%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 55%
+45 / −55
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 45%
+55 / −45
Explain your Yes on December 31, 2027
Explain your No on December 31, 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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March 31, 2027
48% market probability
48%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 48%
+52 / −48
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 52%
+48 / −52
Explain your Yes on March 31, 2027
Explain your No on March 31, 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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December 31, 2026
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on December 31, 2026
Explain your No on December 31, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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December 31
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on December 31
Explain your No on December 31
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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March 31, 2026
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on March 31, 2026
Explain your No on March 31, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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