Open Crypto Polymarket

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

$1.4M Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2028

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$1.4m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$1.4M Vol.

$100M

95% market probability

95%
Yes 95% +5 / −95 No 5% +95 / −5

$200M

91% market probability

91%
Yes 91% +9 / −91 No 9% +91 / −9

$300M

81% market probability

81%
Yes 81% +19 / −81 No 19% +81 / −19

$500M

64% market probability

64%
Yes 64% +36 / −64 No 36% +64 / −36

$800M

38% market probability

38%
Yes 38% +62 / −38 No 62% +38 / −62

$1B

26% market probability

26%
Yes 26% +74 / −26 No 74% +26 / −74

$2B

11% market probability

11%
Yes 11% +89 / −11 No 89% +11 / −89

$3B

5% market probability

5%
Yes 5% +95 / −5 No 95% +5 / −95

$5B

3% market probability

3%
Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

$4B

3% market probability

3%
Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97
Log in to place your forecast on this event.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.