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Open Crypto Polymarket

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Top outcomes

$100M 97%
$200M 95%
$300M 88%
$500M 73%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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$1.7M Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2028

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$1.7m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$1.7M Vol.

$100M

97% market probability

97%

Explain your Yes on $100M Explain your No on $100M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$200M

95% market probability

95%

Explain your Yes on $200M Explain your No on $200M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$300M

88% market probability

88%

Explain your Yes on $300M Explain your No on $300M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$500M

73% market probability

73%

Explain your Yes on $500M Explain your No on $500M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$800M

41% market probability

41%

Explain your Yes on $800M Explain your No on $800M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$1B

28% market probability

28%

Explain your Yes on $1B Explain your No on $1B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$2B

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on $2B Explain your No on $2B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$3B

9% market probability

9%

Explain your Yes on $3B Explain your No on $3B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$4B

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on $4B Explain your No on $4B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$5B

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on $5B Explain your No on $5B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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