US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Fed rate cut by...? Netanyahu out by...? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027? Will Russia invade a NATO country by...? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? Crude Oil all time high by...? Largest Company end of December 2026? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Fed rate cut by...? Netanyahu out by...? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027? Will Russia invade a NATO country by...? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? Crude Oil all time high by...? Largest Company end of December 2026? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
Open Crypto Polymarket

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Top outcomes

$100M 98%
$200M 98%
$300M 93%
$500M 86%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

View on Polymarket
$3.5M Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2028

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$3.5m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$3.5M Vol.

$100M

98% market probability

98%

Explain your Yes on $100M Explain your No on $100M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$200M

98% market probability

98%

Explain your Yes on $200M Explain your No on $200M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$300M

93% market probability

93%

Explain your Yes on $300M Explain your No on $300M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$500M

86% market probability

86%

Explain your Yes on $500M Explain your No on $500M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$800M

72% market probability

72%

Explain your Yes on $800M Explain your No on $800M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$1B

58% market probability

58%

Explain your Yes on $1B Explain your No on $1B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$2B

28% market probability

28%

Explain your Yes on $2B Explain your No on $2B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$3B

14% market probability

14%

Explain your Yes on $3B Explain your No on $3B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$4B

7% market probability

7%

Explain your Yes on $4B Explain your No on $4B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$5B

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on $5B Explain your No on $5B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.