F1 Constructors' Champion Iran full airspace closure by...? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 MLB World Series Champion 2026 Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Fed rate hike in 2026? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Next Prime Minister of Sweden Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? EPL: 2027 Champion
F1 Constructors' Champion Iran full airspace closure by...? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 MLB World Series Champion 2026 Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Fed rate hike in 2026? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Next Prime Minister of Sweden Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? EPL: 2027 Champion
Open Crypto Polymarket

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Top outcomes

$100M 98%
$200M 94%
$300M 91%
$500M 78%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

View on Polymarket
$2.2M Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2028

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$2.2m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$2.2M Vol.

$100M

98% market probability

98%

Explain your Yes on $100M Explain your No on $100M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$200M

94% market probability

94%

Explain your Yes on $200M Explain your No on $200M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$300M

91% market probability

91%

Explain your Yes on $300M Explain your No on $300M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$500M

78% market probability

78%

Explain your Yes on $500M Explain your No on $500M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$800M

56% market probability

56%

Explain your Yes on $800M Explain your No on $800M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$1B

45% market probability

45%

Explain your Yes on $1B Explain your No on $1B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$2B

20% market probability

20%

Explain your Yes on $2B Explain your No on $2B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$3B

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on $3B Explain your No on $3B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$4B

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on $4B Explain your No on $4B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$5B

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on $5B Explain your No on $5B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.