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Crypto
Polymarket
StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top outcomes
$50M
84%
$100M
66%
$200M
57%
$400M
27%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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$1.5M Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2027
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$1.5m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$1.5M Vol.
$50M
84% market probability
84%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 84%
+16 / −84
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 16%
+84 / −16
$100M
66% market probability
66%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 66%
+34 / −66
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 34%
+66 / −34
Explain your Yes on $100M
Explain your No on $100M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$200M
57% market probability
57%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 57%
+43 / −57
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 43%
+57 / −43
Explain your Yes on $200M
Explain your No on $200M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$400M
27% market probability
27%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 27%
+73 / −27
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 73%
+27 / −73
Explain your Yes on $400M
Explain your No on $400M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$1B
20% market probability
20%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 20%
+80 / −20
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 80%
+20 / −80
Explain your Yes on $1B
Explain your No on $1B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$800M
19% market probability
19%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 19%
+81 / −19
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 81%
+19 / −81
Explain your Yes on $800M
Explain your No on $800M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$2B
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on $2B
Explain your No on $2B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$3B
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on $3B
Explain your No on $3B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$5B
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on $5B
Explain your No on $5B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$7B
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on $7B
Explain your No on $7B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$10B
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on $10B
Explain your No on $10B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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