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Crypto
Polymarket
StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top outcomes
$1B
2%
$800M
1%
$5B
1%
$3B
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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$1.8M Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2027
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$1.8m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$1.8M Vol.
$1B
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
$800M
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on $800M
Explain your No on $800M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$5B
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on $5B
Explain your No on $5B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$3B
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on $3B
Explain your No on $3B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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$10B
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on $10B
Explain your No on $10B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
$100M
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on $100M
Explain your No on $100M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
$200M
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on $200M
Explain your No on $200M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
$400M
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on $400M
Explain your No on $400M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
$50M
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on $50M
Explain your No on $50M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
$2B
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on $2B
Explain your No on $2B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
$7B
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on $7B
Explain your No on $7B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
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