Open
Crypto
Polymarket
StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top outcomes
$50M
64%
$100M
60%
$200M
41%
$400M
23%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Read more
Show less
$1.5M Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2027
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
Open on Polymarket ↗
The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.
$1.5m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$1.5M Vol.
$50M
64% market probability
64%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 64%
+36 / −64
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 36%
+64 / −36
$100M
60% market probability
60%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 60%
+40 / −60
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 40%
+60 / −40
Explain your Yes on $100M
Explain your No on $100M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
$200M
41% market probability
41%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 41%
+59 / −41
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 59%
+41 / −59
Explain your Yes on $200M
Explain your No on $200M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
$400M
23% market probability
23%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 23%
+77 / −23
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 77%
+23 / −77
Explain your Yes on $400M
Explain your No on $400M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
$800M
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on $800M
Explain your No on $800M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
$1B
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on $1B
Explain your No on $1B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
$2B
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on $2B
Explain your No on $2B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
$3B
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on $3B
Explain your No on $3B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
$5B
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on $5B
Explain your No on $5B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
$7B
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on $7B
Explain your No on $7B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
$10B
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on $10B
Explain your No on $10B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.