F1 Drivers' Champion Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Which party will win the House in 2026? World Cup Winner Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Highest grossing movie in 2026? Fed Decision in June? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? US military action against Cuba by...? Russia nuclear test by...? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Fed Decision in July? US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
F1 Drivers' Champion Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Which party will win the House in 2026? World Cup Winner Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Highest grossing movie in 2026? Fed Decision in June? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? US military action against Cuba by...? Russia nuclear test by...? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Fed Decision in July? US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
Open Pop Culture Polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026?

Top outcomes

200-219 18%
220-239 16%
180-199 14%
240-259 14%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 12 12:00 PM ET to June 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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$264K Vol. Closes Jun 19, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$263.9k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$264K Vol.

200-219

18% market probability

18%

Explain your Yes on 200-219 Explain your No on 200-219 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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220-239

16% market probability

16%

Explain your Yes on 220-239 Explain your No on 220-239 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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180-199

14% market probability

14%

Explain your Yes on 180-199 Explain your No on 180-199 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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240-259

14% market probability

14%

Explain your Yes on 240-259 Explain your No on 240-259 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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260-279

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on 260-279 Explain your No on 260-279 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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160-179

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on 160-179 Explain your No on 160-179 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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140-159

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on 140-159 Explain your No on 140-159 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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280-299

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on 280-299 Explain your No on 280-299 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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120-139

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on 120-139 Explain your No on 120-139 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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300-319

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on 300-319 Explain your No on 300-319 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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320-339

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 320-339 Explain your No on 320-339 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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100-119

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 100-119 Explain your No on 100-119 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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340-359

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 340-359 Explain your No on 340-359 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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360-379

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 360-379 Explain your No on 360-379 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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380-399

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 380-399 Explain your No on 380-399 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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400-419

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 400-419 Explain your No on 400-419 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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500+

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 500+ Explain your No on 500+ (optional)

0 / 2,000

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80-99

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 80-99 Explain your No on 80-99 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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420-439

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 420-439 Explain your No on 420-439 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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440-459

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 440-459 Explain your No on 440-459 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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<20

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on <20 Explain your No on <20 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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20-39

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 20-39 Explain your No on 20-39 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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40-59

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 40-59 Explain your No on 40-59 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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60-79

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 60-79 Explain your No on 60-79 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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460-479

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 460-479 Explain your No on 460-479 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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480-499

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 480-499 Explain your No on 480-499 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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