Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 1?

$212K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Beijing on June 15?

27°C 100% Yes No
26°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$210K Vol.
Polymarket

LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory?

Forecasts closed
Bass 5–10% 93% Yes No
Bass 0–5% 2% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$209K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?

29°C 100% Yes No
24°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$208K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 28?

$208K Vol.
Polymarket

What price will Ethereum hit on June 13?

↑ 1,700 0% Yes No
↑ 1,750 0% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$208K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Elon Musk # tweets June 18 - June 20, 2026?

65-89 56% Yes No
40-64 36% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$208K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 30?

25°C 0% Yes No
26°C 0% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$207K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 31?

25°C 0% Yes No
26°C 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$207K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in London on June 3?

19°C 100% Yes No
16°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$207K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$207K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 7?

32°C 100% Yes No
25°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$206K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2027 92% Yes No
June 30, 2027 86% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$205K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Fed rate hike by...?

October Meeting 45% Yes No
September Meeting 42% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$205K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What price will Bitcoin hit on May 31?

↑ 75,000 0% Yes No
↑ 76,000 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$204K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 82% Yes No
September 30, 2026 79% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$204K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

XRP above ___ on June 7?

0.80 100% Yes No
0.90 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$202K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Ethereum price on June 18?

1,600-1,700 100% Yes No
<1,200 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$202K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.10–1.14ºC 100% Yes No
<1.10ºC 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$202K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

↓ $4.10 7% Yes No
↓ $4.00 3% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$202K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 7?

32°C 100% Yes No
25°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$201K Vol.
Polymarket

SpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?

↑$150 100% Yes No
↑$175 100% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$201K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in London on June 5?

19°C 100% Yes No
14°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$200K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 9?

27°C 100% Yes No
23°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$200K Vol.
Polymarket