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SpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?

Top outcomes

↑$150 94%
↑$200 19%
↑$250 8%
↑$300 2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's official “High” price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The “High” share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), this market will resolve according to the official “High” price of the abbreviated session. If no such official “High” price is published for the first day of trading, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official “High” price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.

$28K Vol. Closes Jun 13, 2026

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$27.6k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$28K Vol.

↑$150

94% market probability

94%
Yes 94% +6 / −94 No 6% +94 / −6

↑$200

19% market probability

19%
Yes 19% +81 / −19 No 81% +19 / −81

↑$250

8% market probability

8%
Yes 8% +92 / −8 No 92% +8 / −92

↑$300

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98
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