F1 Constructors' Champion Iran full airspace closure by...? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 MLB World Series Champion 2026 Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Fed rate hike in 2026? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Next Prime Minister of Sweden Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? EPL: 2027 Champion
F1 Constructors' Champion Iran full airspace closure by...? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 MLB World Series Champion 2026 Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Fed rate hike in 2026? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Next Prime Minister of Sweden Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? EPL: 2027 Champion

Science & Tech

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Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

October 31 97% Yes No
September 30 94% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket

Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by...?

October 31 98% Yes No
September 30 96% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$37K Vol.
Polymarket

OpenAI’s Astra released by…?

October 31 92% Yes No
September 30 84% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$439K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

October 31 69% Yes No
September 30 25% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket

SSI public model released by…?

October 31 49% Yes No
September 30 38% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$73K Vol.
Polymarket

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Other 50% Yes No
Company A 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$14K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Anthropic 86% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$71K Vol.
Polymarket

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

No release by November 1 34% Yes No
October 12–October 18 10% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$38K Vol.
Polymarket

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

November 30 90% Yes No
October 31 66% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$352K Vol.
Polymarket

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$580K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+ 79% Yes No
1490+ 64% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$13K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+ 88% Yes No
45%+ 84% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$45K Vol.
Polymarket

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$9K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$813K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$117K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

No 74%
Yes 26%
$313K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$312K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

GPT-6 released by…?

December 31, 2026 73% Yes No
November 30, 2026 68% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+ 88% Yes No
60%+ 63% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$79K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+ 72% Yes No
50%+ 55% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$68K Vol.
Polymarket

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

14–16 46% Yes No
17–19 38% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

16-19 48% Yes No
12-15 29% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$64K Vol.
Polymarket

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

0 52% Yes No
1 36% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

<5 54% Yes No
5-6 45% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$507K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech