Politics

Elections, policy, and government

520 open forecasts

Events in Politics

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Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 2027 8% Yes No
December 31 3% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$4.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested)

Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri 96% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+36 more outcomes

$38K Vol.
Polymarket

Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

No 72%
Yes 28%
$549K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei 48% Yes No
Axel Kicillof 32% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$979K Vol.
Polymarket

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 2027 42% Yes No
June 30, 2027 32% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

December 31, 2027 22% Yes No
December 31, 2026 2% Yes No
$754K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Maduro Prison Time?

No prison time 56% Yes No
60+ 26% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$925K Vol.
Polymarket World

Next Press Secretary?

Other 50% Yes No
Candidate U 50% Yes No

+97 more outcomes

$127K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Luca Niculescu 97% Yes No
Ilie Bolojan 0% Yes No

+36 more outcomes

$5.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Independent/Technocrat 96% Yes No
PSD 2% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$353K Vol.
Polymarket

Russia military action against EU country by...?

December 31, 2027 20% Yes No
December 31, 2026 10% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$274K Vol.
Polymarket

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 2027 68% Yes No
November 30, 2027 63% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$8.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

December 31, 2027 22% Yes No
December 31, 2026 6% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$173K Vol.
Polymarket

Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?

No meeting by December 31, 2027 82% Yes No
Hungary 3% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$176K Vol.
Polymarket

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

PSD 96% Yes No
PSD + AUR 2% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$102K Vol.
Polymarket

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

PSD 95% Yes No
UDMR 2% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$84K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Andy Beshear 88% Yes No
Ted Cruz 82% Yes No

+69 more outcomes

$119K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Other 50% Yes No
Alan Campbell 13% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$138K Vol.
Polymarket

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$100K Vol.
Polymarket

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Russia invade another country by...?

December 31, 2027 19% Yes No
December 31, 2026 7% Yes No
$619K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 81% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+56 more outcomes

$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

Yulia Navalnaya 10% Yes No
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 9% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$18K Vol.
Polymarket