Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? F1 Constructors' Champion Russia nuclear test by...? Xi Jinping out before 2027? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion NFL Champion 2027 Los Angeles Mayoral Election Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Epstein client list released by...? Bitcoin all time high by ___? Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Fed Decision in December?
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? F1 Constructors' Champion Russia nuclear test by...? Xi Jinping out before 2027? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion NFL Champion 2027 Los Angeles Mayoral Election Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Epstein client list released by...? Bitcoin all time high by ___? Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Fed Decision in December?
Open Polymarket

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

Top outcomes

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 9%
Donald Trump 8%
UNRWA 8%
Yulia Navalnaya 8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recipients will resolve to "Yes". This market is not limited to a single winner. If no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

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$17K Vol. Closes Apr 1, 2028

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$16.6k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$17K Vol.

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

9% market probability

9%

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0 / 2,000

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Donald Trump

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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UNRWA

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Yulia Navalnaya

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Doctors Without Borders

7% market probability

7%

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0 / 2,000

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António Guterres

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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International Criminal Court

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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Jimmy Lai

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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Committee to Protect Journalists

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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Volodymyr Zelenskyy

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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International Court of Justice

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Greta Thunberg

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Elon Musk

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Julian Assange

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Pope Leo XIV

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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