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Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Top outcomes
Javier Milei
48%
Axel Kicillof
30%
Sergio Massa
19%
Patricia Bullrich
2%
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
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$921K Vol.
Closes Oct 25, 2027
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$920.7k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$921K Vol.
Javier Milei
48% market probability
48%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 48%
+52 / −48
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 52%
+48 / −52
Axel Kicillof
30% market probability
30%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 30%
+70 / −30
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 70%
+30 / −70
Explain your Yes on Axel Kicillof
Explain your No on Axel Kicillof
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sergio Massa
19% market probability
19%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 19%
+81 / −19
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 81%
+19 / −81
Explain your Yes on Sergio Massa
Explain your No on Sergio Massa
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Patricia Bullrich
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Patricia Bullrich
Explain your No on Patricia Bullrich
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Myriam Bregman
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Myriam Bregman
Explain your No on Myriam Bregman
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Dante Gebel
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Dante Gebel
Explain your No on Dante Gebel
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cristina Fernández de Kirchner
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Cristina Fernández de Kirchner
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Victoria Villarruel
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Victoria Villarruel
Explain your No on Victoria Villarruel
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mauricio Macri
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Mauricio Macri
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Juan Schiaretti
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Juan Schiaretti
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Juan Grabois
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Juan Grabois
Explain your No on Juan Grabois
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Daniel Hadad
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Daniel Hadad
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Facundo Manes
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Facundo Manes
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Esteban Bullrich
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Esteban Bullrich
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Máximo Kirchner
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Máximo Kirchner
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Karina Milei
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Karina Milei
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Guillermo Moreno
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Guillermo Moreno
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nicolás del Caño
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Nicolás del Caño
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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