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Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Top outcomes
Javier Milei
48%
Axel Kicillof
46%
Dante Gebel
3%
Sergio Massa
1%
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
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$365K Vol.
Closes Oct 24, 2027
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$364.6k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$365K Vol.
Javier Milei
48% market probability
48%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 48%
+52 / −48
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 52%
+48 / −52
Axel Kicillof
46% market probability
46%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 46%
+54 / −46
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 53%
+47 / −53
Explain your Yes on Axel Kicillof
Explain your No on Axel Kicillof
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Dante Gebel
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Dante Gebel
Explain your No on Dante Gebel
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sergio Massa
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Sergio Massa
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Myriam Bregman
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Myriam Bregman
Explain your No on Myriam Bregman
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mauricio Macri
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Mauricio Macri
Explain your No on Mauricio Macri
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Juan Grabois
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Juan Grabois
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Victoria Villarruel
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Victoria Villarruel
Explain your No on Victoria Villarruel
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Facundo Manes
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Facundo Manes
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0 / 2,000
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Juan Schiaretti
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Juan Schiaretti
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Esteban Bullrich
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Esteban Bullrich
Explain your No on Esteban Bullrich
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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