US Elections

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 63% Yes No

Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 31% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$446K Vol.

Polymarket

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

Oil ≥ $85; D Senate 59% Yes No

Oil ≥ $85; R Senate 31% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$618K Vol.

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WI-05 House Election Winner

Scott Fitzgerald (R) 97% Yes No

Andrew Beck (D) 2% Yes No

$108K Vol.

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WI-07 House Election Winner

Michael Alfonso (R) 94% Yes No

Fred Clark (D) 4% Yes No

$78K Vol.

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Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

David Crowley (D) 80% Yes No

Tom Tiffany (R) 20% Yes No

$726K Vol.

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Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

Other 50% Yes No

Candidate A 50% Yes No

+40 more outcomes

$219K Vol.

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Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman 53% Yes No

Karen Bass 46% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$15.4M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?

No 97%

Yes 3%

$23K Vol.

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USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?

December 31 92% Yes No

November 30 65% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$43K Vol.

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Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer 52% Yes No

John Thune 24% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$174K Vol.

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Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Xiaomi 20% Yes No

DeepSeek 16% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$127K Vol.

Polymarket

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CXMT 31% Yes No

CATL 26% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$607K Vol.

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Next Press Secretary?

Other 50% Yes No

Candidate U 50% Yes No

+97 more outcomes

$125K Vol.

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 18% Yes No

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 15% Yes No

+51 more outcomes

$1295.0M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance 20% Yes No

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% Yes No

+52 more outcomes

$717.2M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 46% Yes No

Marco Rubio 14% Yes No

+41 more outcomes

$713.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Democratic 64% Yes No

Republican 34% Yes No

$2.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics