US Elections

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Other 50% Yes No

Person A 50% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$90K Vol.

Polymarket

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 8% 100% Yes No

↓ 7% 21% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$188K Vol.

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Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 35% 100% Yes No

↑ 40% 30% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$90K Vol.

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Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47 40% Yes No

48 16% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$3.2M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner

Mo Ivory 96% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$28K Vol.

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2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff Election Winner

Robert Luna 97% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$25K Vol.

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2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Other 46% Yes No

Democrats 8-10% 28% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$159K Vol.

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2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner

Tim O'Hare 50% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$53K Vol.

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AL-02 House Election Winner

Rhett Marques (R) 69% Yes No

Shomari Figures (D) 31% Yes No

$103K Vol.

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AL-03 House Election Winner

Mike Rogers (R) 98% Yes No

Lee McInnis (D) 0% Yes No

$45K Vol.

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AL-05 House Election Winner

Dale Strong (R) 96% Yes No

Andrew Sneed (D) 4% Yes No

$68K Vol.

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Alabama Governor Election Winner

Tommy Tuberville (R) 94% Yes No

Doug Jones (D) 6% Yes No

$49K Vol.

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Alaska Governor Election Winner

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 79% Yes No

Bernadette Wilson 22% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Alaska Senate and Governor Combo

Dems sweep 72% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$63K Vol.

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Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola 74% Yes No

Sen. Dan Sullivan 26% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D) 92% Yes No

Andy Biggs (R) 8% Yes No

$183K Vol.

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AZ-01 House Election Winner

Amish Shah (D) 82% Yes No

Jay Feely (R) 18% Yes No

$70K Vol.

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AZ-03 House Election Winner

Yassamin Ansari (D) 99% Yes No

Republican Party 1% Yes No

$53K Vol.

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AZ-09 House Election Winner

Paul Gosar (R) 94% Yes No

Dani Sterbinsky (D) 4% Yes No

$37K Vol.

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Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep 62% Yes No

R Senate, D House 28% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$24.8M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

CA-04 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 97% Yes No

Republican Party 1% Yes No

$45K Vol.

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CA-06 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 97% Yes No

Republican Party 1% Yes No

$91K Vol.

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CA-08 House Election Winner

John Garamendi (D) 96% Yes No

Rudy Recile (R) 4% Yes No

$57K Vol.

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CA-18 House Election Winner

Zoe Lofgren (D) 98% Yes No

Shane Lewis (R) 2% Yes No

$50K Vol.

Polymarket