Geopolitics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$1.1M Vol.

Polymarket World

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

No 97%

Yes 3%

$7.3M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?

September 30 18% Yes No

August 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$40K Vol.

Polymarket

NATO downs another Russian drone by...?

September 30 53% Yes No

September 15 28% Yes No

$39K Vol.

Polymarket

Who will Trump speak to in September?

Xi Jinping 94% Yes No

Andy Burnham 92% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$86K Vol.

Polymarket

Israel closes its airspace by...?

September 30 6% Yes No

May 8 0% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$27.7M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

September 30 8% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$337K Vol.

Polymarket

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

No Meeting by September 30 88% Yes No

Switzerland 6% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$5.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Who will Trump meet with in September?

Andy Burnham 96% Yes No

Xi Jinping 92% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$52K Vol.

Polymarket

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$2.1M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will Russia enter Borova by...?

September 30 7% Yes No

May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$292K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?

September 30 4% Yes No

May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$142K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?

September 30 8% Yes No

May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$87K Vol.

Polymarket

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$1.8M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

September 30 76% Yes No

September 15 22% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$257K Vol.

Polymarket

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yulia Navalnaya 8% Yes No

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 4% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$23.6M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

No 89%

Yes 11%

$314K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by...?

October 31 20% Yes No

May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$236K Vol.

Polymarket

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

October 31 66% Yes No

September 30 44% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$54K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Toretske by...?

October 31 100% Yes No

September 30 99% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$160K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?

October 31 10% Yes No

May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$515K Vol.

Polymarket

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

Kuomintang (KMT) 92% Yes No

Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) 6% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$160K Vol.

Polymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

No 82%

Yes 18%

$187K Vol.

Polymarket

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

No 96%

Yes 4%

$628K Vol.

Polymarket