Geopolitics

Forecasts in Geopolitics · Politics

118 open forecasts of 192 in Politics

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US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

December 31 78% Yes No
October 31 72% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$300.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31 54% Yes No
June 30 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$122.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro 75% Yes No
Delcy Rodríguez 15% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$90.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$54.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

July 31 68% Yes No
June 30 59% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$46.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

July 31 82% Yes No
June 30 70% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$42.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$34.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

July 31 78% Yes No
June 30 64% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$32.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
June 30 2% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$26.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 10% Yes No
Donald Trump 8% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$20.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$19.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Iran leadership change by...?

December 31 22% Yes No
June 30 2% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$17.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu 36% Yes No
Gadi Eizenkot 28% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$15.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 31 40% Yes No
July 31 16% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$14.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Israel closes its airspace by...?

June 30 10% Yes No
June 15 3% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$14.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei 77% Yes No
Reza Pahlavi 6% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$14.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$11.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$10.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$10.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Trump out as President before 2027?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$9.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

No Meeting by June 30 41% Yes No
Switzerland 29% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$9.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

No meeting by June 30 99% Yes No
Russia 0% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$8.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 56%
Yes 44%
$8.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
April 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$7.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics