Economy

Rates, inflation, jobs, and macro trends

158 open forecasts

Events in Economy

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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 97% Yes No
1 (25 bps) 1% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$54.5M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA 66% Yes No
Apple 29% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$8.6M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$723 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$132K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

OPEC dissolves in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$42K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by December 31, 2026 97% Yes No
1.5T+ 1% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket

Oura IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before January 2027 92% Yes No
$20B+ 2% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$599K Vol.
Polymarket

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

December 31 32% Yes No
October 31 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$53K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No
$174K Vol.
Polymarket

South Korea Annual Inflation 2026

2.7% to 2.9% 46% Yes No
3.0%+ 39% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$59K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

No 67%
Yes 33%
$124K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$15.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

December 31, 2026 12% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$57K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
November 30 6% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$24K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$30K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$19K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$447K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

↑ $4,500 50% Yes No
↓ $3,500 11% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.25% 67% Yes No
4.0% 12% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$7.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Tim Cook - Apple 100% Yes No
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase 7% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$718K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Cursor 100% Yes No
iRobot 100% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$18.4M Vol.
Polymarket

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Google 100% Yes No
Anthropic 62% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$215K Vol.
Polymarket

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

D-Wave 100% Yes No
Rigetti 100% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$217K Vol.
Polymarket Economy