US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Brazil Presidential Election Russia nuclear test by...? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner Bitcoin all time high by ___? Which party will win the House in 2026? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Largest Company end of December 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Israel closes its airspace by...?
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Brazil Presidential Election Russia nuclear test by...? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner Bitcoin all time high by ___? Which party will win the House in 2026? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Largest Company end of December 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Israel closes its airspace by...?

Economy

Rates, inflation, jobs, and macro trends

132 open forecasts

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How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 3% 100% Yes No
Above 4% 100% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

4.0% 100% Yes No
3.9% 26% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$220K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 80% Yes No
1 (25 bps) 14% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$42.1M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA 66% Yes No
Apple 17% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$4.2M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX 86% Yes No
xAI 26% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$4.8M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$82K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

OPEC dissolves in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$31K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

OpenAI IPO by...?

December 31, 2026 20% Yes No
September 30, 2026 3% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Elon Musk 96% Yes No
Warren Buffett 1% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

No 83%
Yes 17%
$51K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

South Korea Annual Inflation 2026

3.0%+ 30% Yes No
2.4% to 2.6% 29% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

No 43%
Yes 57%
$119K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 44%
Yes 56%
$5.1M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

December 31, 2026 28% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$44K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

December 31 43% Yes No
July 31 4% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$396K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↓ 3.5% 100% Yes No
↑ 4.25% 23% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

↑ $6,000 8% Yes No
↑ $7,000 6% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$686K Vol.
Polymarket

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Tim Cook - Apple 100% Yes No
Andy Jassy - Amazon 14% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$702K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

GlobalFoundries 84% Yes No
D-Wave 70% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$145K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Argentina dollarize by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$38K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

No 54%
Yes 46%
$7K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?

$7.000+ 79% Yes No
$8.000+ 48% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$21K Vol.
Polymarket Economy