Fed & Rates

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?

Increase 99% Yes No

No Change 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$35K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in September?

25 bps increase 57% Yes No

No change 42% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$74.2M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Other 56% Yes No

Pause–Pause–Pause 42% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$817K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

25 bps increase 88% Yes No

No change 12% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$391K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in October?

No change 70% Yes No

25 bps increase 26% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Other 64% Yes No

Pause–Pause–Pause 36% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$732K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

≥3.0% 32% Yes No

2.0–2.5% 26% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$24K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change 87% Yes No

25 bps increase 12% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$49K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026

0.8-1.1% 62% Yes No

0.4-0.7% 16% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$52K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

1.0-1.2% 38% Yes No

0.7-0.9% 24% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$32K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed rate hike by...?

October Meeting 66% Yes No

September Meeting 56% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.7M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 30%

Yes 70%

$8.3M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.0% 39% Yes No

3.75% 25% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$6.8M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase 47% Yes No

No change 44% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$451K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.3% 100% Yes No

4.4% 100% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$292K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

4.0% 100% Yes No

3.9% 28% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$228K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 89% Yes No

1 (25 bps) 7% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$50.4M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↓ 3.5% 100% Yes No

↑ 4.25% 25% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

1 (25 bps) 45% Yes No

0 (0 bps) 26% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$253K Vol.

Polymarket

ECB rate cut in 2026?

No 94%

Yes 6%

$32K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed abolished before 2027?

No 98%

Yes 2%

$8K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

No 92%

Yes 8%

$164K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed rate cut by...?

December Meeting 10% Yes No

October Meeting 4% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$3.3M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in January?

No change 60% Yes No

25 bps increase 22% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$57K Vol.

Polymarket Economy