Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Los Angeles Mayoral Election Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Fed Decision in December? California Governor Election Winner Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Largest Company end of December 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Iran leader end of 2026? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? F1 Constructors' Champion Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Fed Decision in October? Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Los Angeles Mayoral Election Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Fed Decision in December? California Governor Election Winner Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Largest Company end of December 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Iran leader end of 2026? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? F1 Constructors' Champion Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Fed Decision in October? Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Fed & Rates

Forecasts in Fed & Rates · Economy

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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 97% Yes No
1 (25 bps) 1% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$54.5M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$30K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.25% 67% Yes No
4.0% 12% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$7.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Pause-Hike-Pause 59% Yes No
Pause-Hike-Hike 9% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$52K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in January?

No change 62% Yes No
25 bps increase 34% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$564K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US recession by end of 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

June 30, 2027 10% Yes No
December 31, 2026 2% Yes No
$50K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed rate cut by...?

July 2027 Meeting 51% Yes No
April 2027 Meeting 32% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$3.8M Vol.
Polymarket Economy