Economy

Fed Decision in June?

No change 98% Yes No

25 bps decrease 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$46.8M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

↓ $85 32% Yes No

↓ $80 5% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$32.8M Vol.

Polymarket

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 66% Yes No

1 (25 bps) 18% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$30.5M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$30.1M Vol.

Polymarket World

Largest Company end of June?

NVIDIA 88% Yes No

Alphabet 10% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$16.3M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$11.2M Vol.

Polymarket 50+ bps increase

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$10.8M Vol.

Polymarket 50+ bps decrease

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 64%

Yes 36%

$10.8M Vol.

Polymarket World

Largest Company end of May?

NVIDIA 100% Yes No

Alphabet 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$9.9M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$8.4M Vol.

Polymarket 25 bps decrease

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

No 2%

Yes 98%

$8.0M Vol.

Polymarket No change

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$7.9M Vol.

Polymarket 25 bps increase

Fed Decision in July?

No change 92% Yes No

25 bps increase 4% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$6.9M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

3.75% 43% Yes No

4.0% 21% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$6.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?

↓ $4,300 46% Yes No

↑ $4,800 30% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$5.3M Vol.

Polymarket

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 34%

Yes 66%

$4.5M Vol.

Polymarket 0 (0 bps)

Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?

↓ $65 21% Yes No

↑ $95 12% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$4.3M Vol.

Polymarket

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 96%

Yes 4%

$3.7M Vol.

Polymarket 25 bps increase

Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$3.6M Vol.

Polymarket 10 (250 bps)

Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$3.6M Vol.

Polymarket 11 (275 bps)

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

December 31 99% Yes No

September 30 98% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$3.1M Vol.

Polymarket

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$3.1M Vol.

Polymarket Tesla

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA 60% Yes No

Alphabet 22% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$3.0M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$2.9M Vol.

Polymarket 9 (225 bps)

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$2.7M Vol.

Polymarket 6 (150 bps)

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$2.7M Vol.

Polymarket Saudi Aramco

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$2.7M Vol.

Polymarket Amazon

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$2.7M Vol.

Polymarket Microsoft

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$2.5M Vol.

Polymarket 12+ (300+ bps)

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX 84% Yes No

xAI 26% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$2.0M Vol.

Polymarket 7 (175 bps)

Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$2.0M Vol.

Polymarket 8 (200 bps)

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$2.0M Vol.

Polymarket Tesla

Fed rate cut by...?

December Meeting 34% Yes No

October Meeting 22% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Elon Musk 91% Yes No

Jensen Huang 2% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.

Polymarket Pop Culture

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 40%

Yes 60%

$1.8M Vol.

Polymarket World

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 88%

Yes 12%

$1.6M Vol.

Polymarket Alphabet

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$1.5M Vol.

Polymarket 5 (125 bps)

US recession by end of 2026?

No 78%

Yes 22%

$1.5M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↓ 3.25% 26% Yes No

↓ 3.0% 12% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

20+ 18% Yes No

40+ 9% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.

Polymarket World

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 14%

Yes 86%

$1.4M Vol.

Polymarket NVIDIA

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 97%

Yes 3%

$1.4M Vol.

Polymarket Apple

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

No 0%

Yes 100%

$1.4M Vol.

Polymarket NVIDIA

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$1.4M Vol.

Polymarket Apple

Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 68%

Yes 32%

$1.3M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

No 82%

Yes 18%

$1.3M Vol.

Polymarket 1 (25 bps)

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$1.3M Vol.

Polymarket 4 (100 bps)