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Economy
Polymarket
Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?
Top outcomes
0.5-1.0%
21%
2.5%+
16%
<-0.5%
14%
-0.5-0.0%
14%
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
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$10K Vol.
Closes Jul 30, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$10.3k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$10K Vol.
0.5-1.0%
21% market probability
21%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 21%
+79 / −21
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 79%
+21 / −79
2.5%+
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on 2.5%+
Explain your No on 2.5%+
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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<-0.5%
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on <-0.5%
Explain your No on <-0.5%
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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-0.5-0.0%
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on -0.5-0.0%
Explain your No on -0.5-0.0%
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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0.0-0.5%
13% market probability
13%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 13%
+87 / −13
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 87%
+13 / −87
Explain your Yes on 0.0-0.5%
Explain your No on 0.0-0.5%
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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1.0-1.5%
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on 1.0-1.5%
Explain your No on 1.0-1.5%
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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1.5-2.0%
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on 1.5-2.0%
Explain your No on 1.5-2.0%
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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2.0-2.5%
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on 2.0-2.5%
Explain your No on 2.0-2.5%
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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