Open
Economy
Polymarket
June Inflation US - Annual
Top outcomes
3.9%
36%
3.8%
33%
4.0%
14%
3.7%
8%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
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$101K Vol.
Closes Jul 15, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$100.8k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$101K Vol.
3.9%
36% market probability
36%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 36%
+64 / −36
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 64%
+36 / −64
3.8%
33% market probability
33%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 33%
+67 / −33
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 67%
+33 / −67
Explain your Yes on 3.8%
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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4.0%
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on 4.0%
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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3.7%
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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4.1%
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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4.2%
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on 4.2%
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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4.3%
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 4.3%
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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≥4.7%
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on ≥4.7%
Explain your No on ≥4.7%
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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4.4%
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 4.4%
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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4.5%
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 4.5%
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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4.6%
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 4.6%
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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≤3.6%
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on ≤3.6%
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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