Economy

Rates, inflation, jobs, and macro trends

132 open forecasts

Events in Economy

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Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

No 80%
Yes 20%
$52K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$54K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

↑ 6.20% 100% Yes No
↑ 6.30% 100% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$50K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$2.25–$2.5T 18% Yes No
<$1.25T 16% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$148K Vol.
Polymarket

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

RBC 4% Yes No
Deutsche Bank 3% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$62K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?

70% 100% Yes No
75% 98% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$10K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?

Ed Miliband 68% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+33 more outcomes

$746K Vol.
Polymarket

Oura IPO Closing Market Cap

$17.5B–$20B 24% Yes No
$20B+ 18% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$61K Vol.
Polymarket

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by December 31, 2026 80% Yes No
1T–1.25T 6% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.0T 100% Yes No
↑$1.1T 100% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$900B 72% Yes No
↑$1.0T 55% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$876K Vol.
Polymarket

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

4.00% to 4.49% 34% Yes No
3.50% to 3.99% 29% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$45K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

30.0-34.9% 48% Yes No
25-29.9% 37% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$22K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

China Annual Inflation 2026

1.1 – 1.5% 39% Yes No
0.6 – 1.0% 36% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$54K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49% 34% Yes No
4.50-4.99% 25% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$75K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

India Annual Inflation 2026

3.75% to 4.49% 36% Yes No
3.00% to 3.74% 28% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$65K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

2026 World GDP Growth

3.1% 36% Yes No
3.0% 20% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$22K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

3.0-3.4% 23% Yes No
2.5–2.9% 21% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$20K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

2.2–2.4% 29% Yes No
3.1%+ 20% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

4.7-5.0% 36% Yes No
2.6-2.9% 32% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$24K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

4.0-4.4% 48% Yes No
4.5%+ 38% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$8K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

0-1.0% 71% Yes No
1.0-2.0% 16% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$22K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US economic state at the end of 2026?

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) 44% Yes No
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) 34% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$36K Vol.
Polymarket Economy