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Pop Culture
Polymarket
3rd richest person on December 31?
Top outcomes
Sergey Brin
45%
Jensen Huang
37%
Larry Ellison
26%
Mark Zuckerberg
18%
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
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$24K Vol.
Closes Dec 31, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$24.4k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$24K Vol.
Sergey Brin
45% market probability
45%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 45%
+55 / −45
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 55%
+45 / −55
Jensen Huang
37% market probability
37%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 37%
+63 / −37
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 63%
+37 / −63
Explain your Yes on Jensen Huang
Explain your No on Jensen Huang
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Larry Ellison
26% market probability
26%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 74%
+26 / −74
Explain your Yes on Larry Ellison
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mark Zuckerberg
18% market probability
18%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 82%
+18 / −82
Explain your Yes on Mark Zuckerberg
Explain your No on Mark Zuckerberg
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Larry Page
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on Larry Page
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0 / 2,000
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Bernard Arnault
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on Bernard Arnault
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0 / 2,000
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Jeff Bezos
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Jeff Bezos
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0 / 2,000
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Warren Buffett
7% market probability
7%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 93%
+7 / −93
Explain your Yes on Warren Buffett
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0 / 2,000
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Steve Ballmer
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Steve Ballmer
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0 / 2,000
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Elon Musk
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Elon Musk
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0 / 2,000
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