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California Governor Election Winner Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Fed Decision in July? US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...? Bitcoin all time high by ___? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Venezuela leader end of 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SpaceX IPO by ___ ? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Starmer out by...? Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 World Cup: Golden Boot Winner
Open Pop Culture Polymarket

3rd richest person on December 31?

Top outcomes

Warren Buffett 32%
Sergey Brin 30%
Jeff Bezos 28%
Larry Ellison 25%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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$24K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$24.1k Vol.

All outcomes

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$24K Vol.

Warren Buffett

32% market probability

32%

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0 / 2,000

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Sergey Brin

30% market probability

30%

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0 / 2,000

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Jeff Bezos

28% market probability

28%

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0 / 2,000

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Larry Ellison

25% market probability

25%

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0 / 2,000

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Larry Page

22% market probability

22%

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0 / 2,000

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Elon Musk

18% market probability

18%

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0 / 2,000

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Mark Zuckerberg

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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Jensen Huang

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Bernard Arnault

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Steve Ballmer

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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