Pro Football: 2027 Champion Netanyahu out by...? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Anthropic IPO by __? Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? Next Prime Minister of Romania? Iran leader end of 2026? California Governor Election Winner Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Russia nuclear test by...? F1 Constructors' Champion Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Next French Presidential Election What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Texas Senate Election Winner Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
Pro Football: 2027 Champion Netanyahu out by...? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Anthropic IPO by __? Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? Next Prime Minister of Romania? Iran leader end of 2026? California Governor Election Winner Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Russia nuclear test by...? F1 Constructors' Champion Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Next French Presidential Election What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Texas Senate Election Winner Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
Open Pop Culture Polymarket

3rd richest person on December 31?

Top outcomes

Mark Zuckerberg 36%
Jensen Huang 36%
Warren Buffett 32%
Steve Ballmer 21%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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$28K Vol. Closes Jan 3, 2027

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$28.0k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$28K Vol.

Mark Zuckerberg

36% market probability

36%

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0 / 2,000

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Jensen Huang

36% market probability

36%

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0 / 2,000

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Warren Buffett

32% market probability

32%

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0 / 2,000

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Steve Ballmer

21% market probability

21%

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0 / 2,000

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Jeff Bezos

21% market probability

21%

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0 / 2,000

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Bernard Arnault

14% market probability

14%

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0 / 2,000

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Sergey Brin

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Larry Page

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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Elon Musk

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Larry Ellison

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Michael Dell

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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