Economy

Rates, inflation, jobs, and macro trends

126 open forecasts

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Fed Decision in June?

No change 99% Yes No
25 bps decrease 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$89.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 77% Yes No
1 (25 bps) 16% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$34.2M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Largest Company end of June?

NVIDIA 94% Yes No
Alphabet 4% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$21.8M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 82%
Yes 18%
$19.5M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in July?

No change 92% Yes No
25 bps increase 5% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$9.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$7.3M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.0% 33% Yes No
3.75% 31% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$6.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 52%
Yes 48%
$4.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA 64% Yes No
Alphabet 14% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$3.4M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX 79% Yes No
xAI 26% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Fed rate cut by...?

December Meeting 20% Yes No
October Meeting 16% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

OpenAI IPO by...?

December 31, 2026 48% Yes No
September 30, 2026 11% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Elon Musk 94% Yes No
Jensen Huang 2% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by December 31, 2026 52% Yes No
750B–1T 13% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Pause–Pause–Pause 99% Yes No
Pause–Pause–Cut 0% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 61%
Yes 39%
$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by June 30, 2026 99% Yes No
600B+ 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket

US recession by end of 2026?

No 82%
Yes 18%
$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 18%
Yes 82%
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Gold (GC) settle at in June?

$3,800-$4,200 43% Yes No
$4,200-$4,600 42% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket

Crude Oil all time high by...?

December 31 20% Yes No
September 30 12% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$965K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$830K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture