Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? World Cup: Golden Boot Winner Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Russia nuclear test by...? Iran leader end of 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...? Brazil Presidential Election How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 MLB: 2026 American League Champion Next Prime Minister of Sweden Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Israel closes its airspace by...?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? World Cup: Golden Boot Winner Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Russia nuclear test by...? Iran leader end of 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...? Brazil Presidential Election How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 MLB: 2026 American League Champion Next Prime Minister of Sweden Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Israel closes its airspace by...?

Track record

Closed forecasts TheBagHodler

Resolved predictions and positions you entered and exited early.

Resolved

177

99 correct · 78 incorrect

Exited early

24

Closed before resolution

Accuracy

56%

Based on resolved forecasts only

Open now

12

Active positions

All closed Resolved Exited early
Crude Oil all time high by...?

Closed Jul 1, 2026 · Entered Jun 12, 2026 Verified record · Closes Dec 31, 2026

Forecast: September 30

Entry

88%

Exit

95%

Realized

+8

Polymarket gave September 30 88% at forecast time · +12 if correct · −88 if wrong

0
Exited
Colombia Presidential Election

Closed Jun 24, 2026 · Entered Jun 1, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 21, 2026

Forecast: Abelardo de la Espriella

Entry

82%

Exit

100%

Realized

+18

Polymarket gave Abelardo de la Espriella 82% at forecast time · +18 if correct · −82 if wrong

0
Exited
Fed rate cut by...?

Closed Jun 24, 2026 · Entered Jun 16, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 17, 2026

Forecast: October Meeting

Entry

80%

Exit

90%

Realized

+10

Polymarket gave October Meeting 80% at forecast time · +20 if correct · −80 if wrong

Con esta inestabilidad politica y el mercado en ATH no van a recortar la tasa.

0
Exited
Bitcoin price on June 14?

Closed Jun 14, 2026 · Entered Jun 14, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 14, 2026

Forecast: 64,000-66,000

Entry

37%

Exit

100%

Realized

+63

Polymarket gave 64,000-66,000 37% at forecast time · +63 if correct · −37 if wrong

0
Exited
Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Closed Jun 12, 2026 · Entered Jun 1, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 2, 2026

Forecast: Karen Bass

Entry

64%

Exit

60%

Realized

-4

Polymarket gave Karen Bass 64% at forecast time · +36 if correct · −64 if wrong

0
Exited
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Closed Jun 7, 2026 · Entered May 28, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 20, 2026

Forecast: Spain

Entry

17%

Exit

17%

Realized

+0

Polymarket gave Spain 17% at forecast time · +83 if correct · −17 if wrong

0
Exited
2026 Men's French Open Winner

Closed Jun 1, 2026 · Entered May 29, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 7, 2026

Forecast: Alexander Zverev

Entry

31%

Exit

42%

Realized

+12

Polymarket gave Alexander Zverev 31% at forecast time · +69 if correct · −31 if wrong

0
Exited
2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion

Closed May 30, 2026 · Entered May 28, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 30, 2026

Forecast: Carolina Hurricanes

Entry

56%

Exit

60%

Realized

+4

Polymarket gave Carolina Hurricanes 56% at forecast time · +44 if correct · −56 if wrong

Ni idea….

0
Exited