Resolved Polymarket

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 1?

Top outcomes

33°C 100%
27°C 0%
28°C 0%
29°C 0%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

$279K Vol. Closed Jul 1, 2026
Resolved outcome: 33°C

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All outcomes

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$279K Vol.

33°C

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

27°C

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

28°C

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

29°C

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

30°C

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

31°C

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

32°C

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

34°C

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

35°C

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

26°C or below

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

36°C or higher

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.

Public forecast history

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Forecast 33°C · Polymarket 54% · +46/−54

Exited forecast, +46 reputation realized

Exited

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