How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? NFL Champion 2027 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Iran leader end of 2026? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Crude Oil all time high by...? US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Status

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

+5 more outcomes

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party 64% Yes No

Republican Party 38% Yes No

$6.8M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

December 31 29% Yes No

October 31 6% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$6.7M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX 64% Yes No

Anthropic 36% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$6.6M Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion

San Francisco 49ers 22% Yes No

Los Angeles Rams 18% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$6.5M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

December 31 2% Yes No

June 30 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$6.4M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Russia nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026 5% Yes No

December 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$6.3M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 2028 28% Yes No

December 31, 2027 12% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$6.0M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

+11 more outcomes

Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?

+3 more outcomes

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No

June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$5.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Luca Niculescu 90% Yes No

Alexandru Nazare 1% Yes No

+36 more outcomes

$5.3M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Crude Oil all time high by...?

March 31, 2027 20% Yes No

December 31 12% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$4.9M Vol.

Polymarket World

Anthropic IPO by __?

December 31, 2026 64% Yes No

December 15, 2026 57% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$4.9M Vol.

Polymarket

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

Cleveland Guardians 63% Yes No

Tampa Bay Rays 38% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$4.9M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

Epstein client list released by...?

+1 more outcome

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

June 30, 2027 48% Yes No

December 31 14% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$4.3M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 2027 9% Yes No

December 31 3% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$4.3M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

December 31 8% Yes No

June 30 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$4.1M Vol.

Polymarket World

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

+5 more outcomes

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion

Buffalo Bills 20% Yes No

Kansas City Chiefs 18% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$3.9M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D) 62% Yes No

Ken Paxton (R) 38% Yes No

$3.8M Vol.

Polymarket Politics