Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Second-best AI Lab end of October?
Anthropic
68%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+30 more outcomes
$67K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___?
December 31, 2026
12%
Yes
No
November 30, 2026
8%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$67K Vol.
Polymarket
Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner
Lai Jui-lung
76%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+31 more outcomes
$67K Vol.
Polymarket
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?
June 30, 2027?
66%
Yes
No
March 31, 2027
49%
Yes
No
$66K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
MO-02 House Election Winner
Ann Wagner (R)
78%
Yes
No
Fred Wellman (D)
22%
Yes
No
$66K Vol.
Polymarket
UEFA Nations League 2026-27: Group B2 Winner
Other
50%
Yes
No
Team A
50%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$66K Vol.
Polymarket
Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?
No Hormuz Agreement; R Senate
34%
Yes
No
Hormuz Agreement; R Senate
1%
Yes
No
$66K Vol.
Polymarket
Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?
December 31
30%
Yes
No
October 31
10%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$66K Vol.
Polymarket
NASCAR Cup Series: 2026 Champion
Other
50%
Yes
No
Driver A
50%
Yes
No
+55 more outcomes
$65K Vol.
Polymarket
NE-02 House Election Winner
Denise Powell (D)
94%
Yes
No
Brinker Harding (R)
4%
Yes
No
$65K Vol.
Polymarket
Next Regional Board Chair of Skåne?
Carl Johan Sonesson
97%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+27 more outcomes
$65K Vol.
Polymarket
Kansas Governor Election Winner
Ty Masterson (R)
76%
Yes
No
Cindy Holscher (D)
24%
Yes
No
$65K Vol.
Polymarket
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
National + ACT + NZF
40%
Yes
No
Labour + Green
32%
Yes
No
+16 more outcomes
$65K Vol.
Polymarket
TX-05 House Election Winner
Lance Gooden (R)
98%
Yes
No
Chelsey Hockett (D)
1%
Yes
No
$65K Vol.
Polymarket
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?
December 31
16%
Yes
No
October 31
2%
Yes
No
$65K Vol.
Polymarket
New Zealand legislative election winner?
Labour Party
54%
Yes
No
National Party
44%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$65K Vol.
Polymarket
Third-best AI Lab end of October?
Meta
92%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+30 more outcomes
$64K Vol.
Polymarket
NY-05 House Election Winner
Gregory Meeks (D)
98%
Yes
No
George Marsh (R)
1%
Yes
No
$64K Vol.
Polymarket
"Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office
<8m
96%
Yes
No
8-10m
4%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$64K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
3.0-3.4%
38%
Yes
No
3.5-3.9%
31%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$64K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Democrat 3%+
95%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+11 more outcomes
$64K Vol.
Polymarket
Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Winner
Wildwood
76%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+33 more outcomes
$64K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
No
62%
Yes
38%
$64K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
MN-02 House Election Winner
Matt Little (D)
94%
Yes
No
Eric Pratt (R)
5%
Yes
No
$64K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 889–912