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US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Which party will win the House in 2026? California Governor Election Winner Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Los Angeles Mayoral Election US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? Fed Decision in October? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Netanyahu out by...? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

Top outcomes

No Hormuz Agreement; R Senate 34%
Hormuz Agreement; R Senate 1%

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$65K Vol. Closes Nov 4, 2026

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$65.2k Vol.

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$65K Vol.

No Hormuz Agreement; R Senate

34% market probability

34%

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0 / 2,000

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Hormuz Agreement; R Senate

1% market probability

1%

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