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Polymarket
NASCAR Cup Series: 2026 Champion
Top outcomes
Other
50%
Driver A
50%
Driver B
50%
Driver C
50%
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by NASCAR to determine the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Championship based on the rules of NASCAR (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NASCAR.
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Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$9.9k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$10K Vol.
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Driver A
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Driver B
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Driver C
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Driver D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Driver E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Driver F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Driver G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Driver H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Driver I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Driver J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Driver K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Driver L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Driver M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Driver N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Driver O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Driver P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Driver Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Driver R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Driver S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Driver T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Denny Hamlin
34% market probability
34%
Yes 34%
+66 / −34
No 66%
+34 / −66
Ryan Blaney
10% market probability
10%
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
No 90%
+10 / −90
Kyle Larson
9% market probability
9%
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
No 91%
+9 / −91
Tyler Reddick
9% market probability
9%
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
No 91%
+9 / −91
Christopher Bell
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
Chase Elliott
5% market probability
5%
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
No 95%
+5 / −95
Ty Gibbs
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
William Byron
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Chase Briscoe
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Cody Ware
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Ty Dillon
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Josh Berry
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Kyle Busch
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Zane Smith
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Alex Bowman
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Cole Custer
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Joey Logano
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Ryan Preece
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Noah Gragson
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Riley Herbst
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Austin Dillon
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Bubba Wallace
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Daniel Suarez
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Ross Chastain
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Austin Cindric
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Carson Hocevar
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Chris Buescher
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Connor Zilisch
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Todd Gilliland
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
AJ Allmendinger
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Brad Keselowski
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Michael McDowell
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Shane van Gisbergen
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
John Hunter Nemechek
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Erik Jones
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Public forecast history
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