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Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___?

Top outcomes

August 31, 2026 20%
December 31, 2026 14%
October 31, 2026 14%
September 30, 2026 12%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if https://x.com/elonmusk posts the listed term by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in main feed posts, quote posts, and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: H@perl1quid, for "Hyperliquid") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: Hyperliquidd or Hyperliqid, for "Hyperliquid"), will not count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the listed term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). Posts published from https://x.com/elonmusk during a period in which the account is verifiably compromised or hacked, as confirmed by Elon Musk or X, do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: https://x.com/elonmusk Please note, only the https://x.com/elonmusk verified X account counts for this market. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

$52K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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$52.3k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$52K Vol.

August 31, 2026

20% market probability

20%

Explain your Yes on August 31, 2026 Explain your No on August 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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December 31, 2026

14% market probability

14%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2026 Explain your No on December 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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October 31, 2026

14% market probability

14%

Explain your Yes on October 31, 2026 Explain your No on October 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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September 30, 2026

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on September 30, 2026 Explain your No on September 30, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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November 30, 2026

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on November 30, 2026 Explain your No on November 30, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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July 31, 2026

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on July 31, 2026 Explain your No on July 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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June 30, 2026

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on June 30, 2026 Explain your No on June 30, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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