Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

No 44%
Yes 56%
$59K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by...?

September 30 26% Yes No
July 31 2% Yes No
$59K Vol.
Polymarket

Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by July 31?

508m 100% Yes No
510m 94% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$58K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Elon Musk # tweets July 25 - July 27, 2026?

40-64 44% Yes No
<40 26% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$58K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?

No 72%
Yes 28%
$57K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

The Odyssey 80% Yes No
Dune: Messiah 14% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$57K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

Mark Sutcliffe 57% Yes No
Alex Lawson 23% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$56K Vol.
Polymarket

Bitcoin above ___ on July 26?

54,000 100% Yes No
56,000 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$56K Vol.
Polymarket

Tour De France 2026: White Jersey

Isaac del Toro 72% Yes No
Cyclist A 50% Yes No

+56 more outcomes

$55K Vol.
Polymarket

Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$25M 82% Yes No
$50M 32% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$55K Vol.
Polymarket

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

2 (50 bps) 34% Yes No
1 (25 bps) 30% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$55K Vol.
Polymarket

Measles cases in U.S. by July 31?

2200 100% Yes No
2300 100% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$54K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

3rd Largest Company end of August?

Alphabet 90% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$54K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US economic state at the end of 2026?

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) 58% Yes No
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) 22% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$53K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$53K Vol.
Polymarket

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

0-1% 60% Yes No
1-2% 20% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$53K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Tour De France 2026: Winner Nationality

Slovenia 98% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$53K Vol.
Polymarket

Will ByteDance's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↓$550B 100% Yes No
↑$650B 38% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$53K Vol.
Polymarket

Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?

No 82%
Yes 18%
$53K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___?

August 31, 2026 19% Yes No
December 31, 2026 14% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$52K Vol.
Polymarket

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

No 85%
Yes 15%
$52K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Is Earth flat?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$52K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

New Zealand legislative election winner?

Labour Party 59% Yes No
National Party 41% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$51K Vol.
Polymarket

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$51K Vol.
Polymarket