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Polymarket
Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top outcomes
$25M
94%
$50M
94%
$75M
86%
$100M
80%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Papertrade's token is greater than the specified value 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an official token launched by Papertrade after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.
The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Papertrade (https://x.com/papertrade_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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$117K Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2028
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$116.9k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$117K Vol.
$25M
94% market probability
94%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 94%
+6 / −94
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 6%
+94 / −6
$50M
94% market probability
94%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 94%
+6 / −94
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 6%
+94 / −6
Explain your Yes on $50M
Explain your No on $50M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$75M
86% market probability
86%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 86%
+14 / −86
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 14%
+86 / −14
Explain your Yes on $75M
Explain your No on $75M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$100M
80% market probability
80%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 80%
+20 / −80
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 20%
+80 / −20
Explain your Yes on $100M
Explain your No on $100M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$150M
72% market probability
72%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 72%
+28 / −72
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 29%
+71 / −29
Explain your Yes on $150M
Explain your No on $150M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$200M
54% market probability
54%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 54%
+46 / −54
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 46%
+54 / −46
Explain your Yes on $200M
Explain your No on $200M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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$250M
48% market probability
48%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 48%
+52 / −48
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 52%
+48 / −52
Explain your Yes on $250M
Explain your No on $250M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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$400M
28% market probability
28%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 28%
+72 / −28
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 72%
+28 / −72
Explain your Yes on $400M
Explain your No on $400M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
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