Open Pop Culture Polymarket

TIME Person of the Year 2026

Top outcomes

Zohran Mamdani 34%
Pope Leo XIV 16%
Donald Trump 12%
Dario Amodei 7%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.

$41K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$40.5k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$41K Vol.

Zohran Mamdani

34% market probability

34%

Explain your Yes on Zohran Mamdani Explain your No on Zohran Mamdani (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Pope Leo XIV

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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Donald Trump

12% market probability

12%

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0 / 2,000

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Dario Amodei

7% market probability

7%

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0 / 2,000

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Elon Musk

7% market probability

7%

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0 / 2,000

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Benjamin Netanyahu

7% market probability

7%

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0 / 2,000

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Reid Wiseman

7% market probability

7%

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0 / 2,000

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Artificial Intelligence

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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Bad Bunny

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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Jeremy Hansen

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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Christina Koch

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on Christina Koch Explain your No on Christina Koch (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Jerome Powell

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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James Talarico

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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Victor Glover

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Sam Altman

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Marco Rubio

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Alysa Liu

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Péter Magyar

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Taylor Swift

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Shehbaz Sharif

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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ChatGPT

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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