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Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Epstein client list released by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Fed rate hike in 2026? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Next French Presidential Election Israel closes its airspace by...? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Iran full airspace closure by...? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
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When will Bitcoin hit $100k?

Top outcomes

by December 31, 2027 84%
by September 30, 2027 64%
by June 30, 2027 56%
by March 31, 2027 49%

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $100,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

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$41K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2028

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$41.5k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$41K Vol.

by December 31, 2027

84% market probability

84%

Explain your Yes on by December 31, 2027 Explain your No on by December 31, 2027 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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by September 30, 2027

64% market probability

64%

Explain your Yes on by September 30, 2027 Explain your No on by September 30, 2027 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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by June 30, 2027

56% market probability

56%

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0 / 2,000

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by March 31, 2027

49% market probability

49%

Explain your Yes on by March 31, 2027 Explain your No on by March 31, 2027 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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by December 31, 2026

30% market probability

30%

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0 / 2,000

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by September 30, 2026

7% market probability

7%

Explain your Yes on by September 30, 2026 Explain your No on by September 30, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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