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When will Bitcoin hit $100k?
Top outcomes
by December 31, 2027
69%
by September 30, 2027
62%
by June 30, 2027
55%
by March 31, 2027
40%
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $100,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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$133K Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2028
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$133.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$133K Vol.
by December 31, 2027
69% market probability
69%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 69%
+31 / −69
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 31%
+69 / −31
by September 30, 2027
62% market probability
62%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 62%
+38 / −62
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 38%
+62 / −38
Explain your Yes on by September 30, 2027
Explain your No on by September 30, 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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by June 30, 2027
55% market probability
55%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 55%
+45 / −55
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 45%
+55 / −45
Explain your Yes on by June 30, 2027
Explain your No on by June 30, 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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by March 31, 2027
40% market probability
40%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 40%
+60 / −40
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 60%
+40 / −60
Explain your Yes on by March 31, 2027
Explain your No on by March 31, 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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by December 31, 2026
22% market probability
22%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 78%
+22 / −78
Explain your Yes on by December 31, 2026
Explain your No on by December 31, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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by September 30, 2026
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on by September 30, 2026
Explain your No on by September 30, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Public forecast history
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