Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

↑ $7,400 100% Yes No
↑ $7,600 100% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$257K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

No 4%
Yes 96%
$257K Vol.
Polymarket

Hyperliquid listed on Binance by ...?

December 31, 2026 15% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$256K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

LALIGA: 2027 Champion

Barcelona 54% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+22 more outcomes

$254K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$254K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

No 51%
Yes 49%
$252K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$251K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$248K Vol.
Polymarket

STRC hits $100 by…

December 31 33% Yes No
September 30 14% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$246K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Theo launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 60% Yes No
September 30, 2026 16% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$246K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

What price will Ethena hit in 2026?

↑ 0.28 100% Yes No
↓ 0.08 100% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$244K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

Tarcísio de Freitas 94% Yes No
Fernando Haddad 5% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$241K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 89%
Yes 11%
$241K Vol.
Polymarket

Clacton by-election: 2nd place

Count Binface 74% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+51 more outcomes

$240K Vol.
Polymarket

Hurupay FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$10M 27% Yes No
$5M 22% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$239K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 84% Yes No
September 30, 2026 54% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$238K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?

0-20 93% Yes No
20-40 4% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$236K Vol.
Polymarket

JD Vance out as VP by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$236K Vol.
Polymarket

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No 66%
Yes 34%
$236K Vol.
Polymarket

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 95% Yes No
Marine Le Pen 90% Yes No

+44 more outcomes

$235K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Loopscale launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 66% Yes No
December 31, 2026 28% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$235K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Ethereum above ___ on July 24?

1,300 100% Yes No
1,400 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$232K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Natural Disaster in 2026?

No 72%
Yes 28%
$227K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

No 80%
Yes 20%
$225K Vol.
Polymarket