Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
↑ $7,400
100%
Yes
No
↑ $7,600
100%
Yes
No
+10 more outcomes
$257K Vol.
Polymarket
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
No
4%
Yes
96%
$257K Vol.
Polymarket
Hyperliquid listed on Binance by ...?
December 31, 2026
15%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
$256K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
LALIGA: 2027 Champion
Barcelona
54%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+22 more outcomes
$254K Vol.
Polymarket
Sports
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$254K Vol.
Polymarket
Sports
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No
51%
Yes
49%
$252K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No
91%
Yes
9%
$251K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$248K Vol.
Polymarket
STRC hits $100 by…
December 31
33%
Yes
No
September 30
14%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$246K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
Will Theo launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
60%
Yes
No
September 30, 2026
16%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$246K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
What price will Ethena hit in 2026?
↑ 0.28
100%
Yes
No
↓ 0.08
100%
Yes
No
+16 more outcomes
$244K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
São Paulo Governor Election Winner
Tarcísio de Freitas
94%
Yes
No
Fernando Haddad
5%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$241K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No
89%
Yes
11%
$241K Vol.
Polymarket
Clacton by-election: 2nd place
Count Binface
74%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+51 more outcomes
$240K Vol.
Polymarket
Hurupay FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$10M
27%
Yes
No
$5M
22%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$239K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
84%
Yes
No
September 30, 2026
54%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$238K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
93%
Yes
No
20-40
4%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$236K Vol.
Polymarket
JD Vance out as VP by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$236K Vol.
Polymarket
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No
66%
Yes
34%
$236K Vol.
Polymarket
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
95%
Yes
No
Marine Le Pen
90%
Yes
No
+44 more outcomes
$235K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Loopscale launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
66%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
28%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$235K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
Ethereum above ___ on July 24?
1,300
100%
Yes
No
1,400
100%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$232K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No
72%
Yes
28%
$227K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
No
80%
Yes
20%
$225K Vol.
Polymarket
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