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Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?
Top outcomes
Sean Strickland
100%
Alexandre Pantoja
51%
Merab Dvalishvili
47%
Ciryl Gane
38%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$281K Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2027
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$281.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$281K Vol.
Sean Strickland
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Alexandre Pantoja
51% market probability
51%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 51%
+49 / −51
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 49%
+51 / −49
Explain your Yes on Alexandre Pantoja
Explain your No on Alexandre Pantoja
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Merab Dvalishvili
47% market probability
47%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 47%
+53 / −47
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 53%
+47 / −53
Explain your Yes on Merab Dvalishvili
Explain your No on Merab Dvalishvili
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ciryl Gane
38% market probability
38%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 38%
+62 / −38
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 62%
+38 / −62
Explain your Yes on Ciryl Gane
Explain your No on Ciryl Gane
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Charles Oliveira
26% market probability
26%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 74%
+26 / −74
Explain your Yes on Charles Oliveira
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nassourdine Imavov
17% market probability
17%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 17%
+83 / −17
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 83%
+17 / −83
Explain your Yes on Nassourdine Imavov
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Max Holloway
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on Max Holloway
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Paddy Pimblett
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on Paddy Pimblett
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sean O'Malley
13% market probability
13%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 13%
+87 / −13
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 87%
+13 / −87
Explain your Yes on Sean O'Malley
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0 / 2,000
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Aljamain Sterling
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on Aljamain Sterling
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0 / 2,000
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Alexander Volkov
11% market probability
11%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 11%
+89 / −11
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 89%
+11 / −89
Explain your Yes on Alexander Volkov
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0 / 2,000
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Magomed Ankalaev
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Magomed Ankalaev
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Manel Kape
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Manel Kape
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0 / 2,000
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Sergei Pavlovich
9% market probability
9%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 91%
+9 / −91
Explain your Yes on Sergei Pavlovich
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Dricus Du Plessis
9% market probability
9%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 91%
+9 / −91
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0 / 2,000
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Arman Tsarukyan
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Arman Tsarukyan
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0 / 2,000
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Ian Machado Garry
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Ian Machado Garry
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0 / 2,000
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Diego Lopes
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Diego Lopes
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0 / 2,000
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Yair Rodriguez
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Yair Rodriguez
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Shavkat Rakhmonov
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Shavkat Rakhmonov
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Deiveson Figueiredo
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Deiveson Figueiredo
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0 / 2,000
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Jiří Procházka
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Jiří Procházka
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Umar Nurmagomedov
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Umar Nurmagomedov
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0 / 2,000
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Belal Muhammad
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Belal Muhammad
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Leon Edwards
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Leon Edwards
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cory Sandhagen
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Cory Sandhagen
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kamaru Usman
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Kamaru Usman
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0 / 2,000
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Jack Della Maddalena
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Jack Della Maddalena
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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