Resolved
Sports
Polymarket
Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?
Top outcomes
Manel Kape
52%
Charles Oliveira
51%
Nassourdine Imavov
51%
Max Holloway
50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Resolved outcome: Sean Strickland
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$269.7k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$270K Vol.
Manel Kape
52% market probability
52%
Yes 52%
+48 / −52
No 48%
+52 / −48
Charles Oliveira
51% market probability
51%
Yes 51%
+49 / −51
No 49%
+51 / −49
Nassourdine Imavov
51% market probability
51%
Yes 51%
+49 / −51
No 49%
+51 / −49
Max Holloway
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Aljamain Sterling
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Deiveson Figueiredo
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Yair Rodriguez
49% market probability
49%
Yes 49%
+51 / −49
No 51%
+49 / −51
Dricus Du Plessis
48% market probability
48%
Yes 48%
+52 / −48
No 52%
+48 / −52
Magomed Ankalaev
47% market probability
47%
Yes 47%
+53 / −47
No 53%
+47 / −53
Arman Tsarukyan
44% market probability
44%
Yes 44%
+56 / −44
No 55%
+45 / −55
Diego Lopes
43% market probability
43%
Yes 43%
+57 / −43
No 57%
+43 / −57
Alexandre Pantoja
39% market probability
39%
Yes 39%
+61 / −39
No 61%
+39 / −61
Ciryl Gane
36% market probability
36%
Yes 36%
+64 / −36
No 64%
+36 / −64
Alexander Volkov
28% market probability
28%
Yes 28%
+72 / −28
No 72%
+28 / −72
Paddy Pimblett
26% market probability
26%
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
No 74%
+26 / −74
Merab Dvalishvili
26% market probability
26%
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
No 74%
+26 / −74
Umar Nurmagomedov
26% market probability
26%
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
No 74%
+26 / −74
Sean O'Malley
22% market probability
22%
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
No 78%
+22 / −78
Ian Machado Garry
18% market probability
18%
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
No 82%
+18 / −82
Sergei Pavlovich
17% market probability
17%
Yes 17%
+83 / −17
No 83%
+17 / −83
Kamaru Usman
15% market probability
15%
Yes 15%
+85 / −15
No 85%
+15 / −85
Jiří Procházka
12% market probability
12%
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
No 88%
+12 / −88
Belal Muhammad
11% market probability
11%
Yes 11%
+89 / −11
No 89%
+11 / −89
Cory Sandhagen
10% market probability
10%
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
No 90%
+10 / −90
Leon Edwards
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
Shavkat Rakhmonov
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
Jack Della Maddalena
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Forecasts are closed for this market.
Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
No forecasts were placed before this market closed.
