Open Polymarket

How many Israeli elections before government formed?

Top outcomes

1 61%
2 26%
3 10%
4 1%

This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier. This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market. Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count. A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

$66K Vol. Closes Oct 27, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$65.5k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$66K Vol.

1

61% market probability

61%

Explain your Yes on 1 Explain your No on 1 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

2

26% market probability

26%

Explain your Yes on 2 Explain your No on 2 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

3

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on 3 Explain your No on 3 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

4

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 4 Explain your No on 4 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

0

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 0 Explain your No on 0 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

5+

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 5+ Explain your No on 5+ (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.