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Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Top outcomes

$2B 15%
$3B 14%
$1B 12%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Consensys’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

$326K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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$326.1k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$326K Vol.

$2B

15% market probability

15%

Explain your Yes on $2B Explain your No on $2B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$3B

14% market probability

14%

Explain your Yes on $3B Explain your No on $3B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$1B

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on $1B Explain your No on $1B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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