Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Will Russia invade a NATO country by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Bitcoin all time high by ___? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Texas Senate Election Winner Iran full airspace closure by...? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Anthropic IPO by __?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Will Russia invade a NATO country by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Bitcoin all time high by ___? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Texas Senate Election Winner Iran full airspace closure by...? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Anthropic IPO by __?

Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Source All Polymarket
Ending soon Next 24h Next 48h Next 72h Next week
All categories Crypto Economy Politics Esports Sports FIFA World Cup 2026 Pop Culture Science & Tech World Other

Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?

800k+ 100% Yes No
1M+ 4% Yes No
$548K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

US military draft authorized in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$544K Vol.
Polymarket

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$537K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

March 31, 2027 50% Yes No
June 30, 2027 50% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$536K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 31 98% Yes No
October 31 86% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$536K Vol.
Polymarket

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

No 72%
Yes 28%
$535K Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$534K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-24 44% Yes No
25-29 24% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$532K Vol.
Polymarket

What price will Ethereum hit October 12-18?

↓ 2,400 100% Yes No
↓ 2,500 100% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$529K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

1.8T+ 66% Yes No
1.5–1.8T 22% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$529K Vol.
Polymarket

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

600B+ 95% Yes No
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$526K Vol.
Polymarket

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

<5 58% Yes No
5-6 34% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$525K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

No 76%
Yes 24%
$523K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Donald Brodie 25% Yes No
Stefan Brodie 17% Yes No

+26 more outcomes

$519K Vol.
Polymarket

Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$40M 23% Yes No
$70M 22% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$518K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

December 31 11% Yes No
October 31 3% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$510K Vol.
Polymarket

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$507K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will be arrested before 2027?

John Brennan 20% Yes No
Mahmoud Khalil 16% Yes No

+22 more outcomes

$503K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Exponent launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 48% Yes No
December 31, 2026 13% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$502K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+ 45% Yes No
No IPO by December 31, 2027 25% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$489K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$487K Vol.
Polymarket

Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026

Harry Kane 98% Yes No
Lamine Yamal 96% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

$487K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$486K Vol.
Polymarket

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 2026 34% Yes No
October 31, 2026 4% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$485K Vol.
Polymarket